Football · Austria Landesliga · 31/10, 16:15

Prediction: SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf vs LAC Inter

Team pages: SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf · LAC Inter

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf1.46

LAC Inter2.08

1X2

26% 23% 51%

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Draw LAC Inter

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLLDDLDL

LAC Inter 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWWWDW

Head-to-head

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 1–3 LAC Inter (4 last)

LAC Inter3-0SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf1-0LAC Inter
LAC Inter3-1SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf1-2LAC Inter

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 1426 · LAC Inter 1569

	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	Draw	LAC Inter
Our model	26%	23%	51%
Market	26%	22%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LAC Inter (rating 1426 vs 1569).
H2H favours LAC Inter: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	LAC Inter
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.2	2.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2.7	2.5 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.40

X4.00

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.82

2 (-0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 4.05 ★
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
01:21 +7’	3.40	4.00	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:28 +15’	4.05	3.97	1.61
09:12 +60’	4.05	3.95▼	1.61▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 1–0–3 LAC Inter

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Austria Landesliga	LAC Inter	3-0 HT 3-0	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
24/10/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	1-0 HT 0-0	LAC Inter
22/09/24 Austria Landesliga	LAC Inter	3-1 HT 2-1	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
04/08/21 Europe Friendlies	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	1-2 HT 0-0	LAC Inter

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	10	7	3	0	26	5	24
2	Floridsdorfer AC II	11	7	1	3	23	14	22
3	LAC Inter	10	7	1	2	22	15	22
4	Red Star Penzing	10	7	1	2	20	13	22
5	TWL Elektra	10	7	1	2	22	16	22
6	Helfort 15	10	5	3	2	16	7	18
7	FV Austria XIII	10	3	4	3	15	13	13
8	First Vienna II	10	4	1	5	21	21	13
9	SV Schwechat	11	4	0	7	17	19	12
10	WAF Brigittenau	10	3	2	5	14	17	11
11	Slovan HAC	10	2	4	4	13	18	10
12	FC 1980 Wien	10	2	3	5	12	25	9
13	Simmeringer SC	10	3	0	7	7	26	9
14	Hellas Kagran	10	2	2	6	15	20	8
15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	10	1	4	5	11	22	7
16	Post SV	10	1	2	7	17	20	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	LAC Inter
FV Austria XIII	1-1 D	3-1 W
Sportunion Mauer	0-2 L	3-3 D
Hellas Kagran	2-4 L	1-0 W
SV Schwechat	1-5 L	2-0 W
Post SV	2-1 W	1-0 W
WAF Brigittenau	1-1 D	4-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: LAC Inter (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

DWLLLDDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Simmeringer SC Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
18/10	Slovan HAC Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
09/10	First Vienna II Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-4	3	2	L
02/10	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	0-2	2-2	5	5	D
26/09	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
23/09	Sportunion Mauer Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
19/09	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
04/09	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-5	1	1	L
28/08	Post SV Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
21/08	WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D

LAC Inter

WWLWLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
17/10	Sportunion Mauer Austria Landesliga	2-1	3-3	4	3	D
10/10	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
03/10	Post SV Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
26/09	WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
18/09	Red Star Penzing Austria Landesliga	0-2	2-5	–	–	L
12/09	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
04/09	TWL Elektra Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-3	4	6	L
29/08	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-1	3	6	W
22/08	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf vs LAC Inter?

According to our model, the most likely result is an LAC Inter win (51%). Probabilities: SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 26%, draw 23%, LAC Inter 51%.

How many goals are expected in SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf vs LAC Inter?

The model expects 3.53 goals (SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 1.46 · LAC Inter 2.08), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf vs LAC Inter?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.