Football · Austria Landesliga · 11/09, 18:00

Prediction: Simmeringer SC vs Red Star Penzing

Team pages: Simmeringer SC · Red Star Penzing

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Simmeringer SC1.07

Red Star Penzing2.26

1X2

16% 20% 64%

Simmeringer SC Draw Red Star Penzing

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Simmeringer SC 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLLLLL

Red Star Penzing 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWLWWW

Head-to-head

Simmeringer SC 3–1–0 Red Star Penzing (4 last)

Red Star Penzing0-0Simmeringer SC
Simmeringer SC3-1Red Star Penzing
Red Star Penzing0-2Simmeringer SC
Red Star Penzing1-2Simmeringer SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Simmeringer SC 1402 · Red Star Penzing 1555

	Simmeringer SC	Draw	Red Star Penzing
Our model	16%	21%	63%
Market	16%	20%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Red Star Penzing (rating 1402 vs 1555).
H2H favours Simmeringer SC: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Simmeringer SC	Red Star Penzing
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.7	1.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.3	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.9	1.9 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

15.50

X4.50

21.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.93

2 (-1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:04 +10’	5.50	4.50	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Simmeringer SC 3–1–0 Red Star Penzing

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Austria Landesliga	Red Star Penzing	0-0 HT 0-0	Simmeringer SC
20/09/25 Austria Landesliga	Simmeringer SC	3-1 HT 0-0	Red Star Penzing
04/04/25 Austria Landesliga	Red Star Penzing	0-2 HT 0-0	Simmeringer SC
01/09/23 Austria Landesliga	Red Star Penzing	1-2 HT 0-2	Simmeringer SC

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TWL Elektra	3	3	0	0	8	3	9
2	Red Star Penzing	3	3	0	0	5	2	9
3	Floridsdorfer AC II	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
4	Sportunion Mauer	3	2	1	0	5	1	7
5	SV Schwechat	3	2	0	1	8	3	6
6	LAC Inter	3	2	0	1	6	5	6
7	Post SV	3	1	1	1	10	4	4
7	Helfort 15	3	1	1	1	10	4	4
9	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	2	1	0	1	3	6	3
10	FC 1980 Wien	3	1	0	2	3	10	3
11	FV Austria XIII	3	0	2	1	3	5	2
12	Slovan HAC	3	0	1	2	1	4	1
13	Hellas Kagran	3	0	1	2	2	7	1
14	WAF Brigittenau	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
15	First Vienna II	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
16	Simmeringer SC	3	0	0	3	2	13	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Simmeringer SC	Red Star Penzing
Floridsdorfer AC II	0-3 L	2-1 W
Helfort 15	0-7 L	0-2 L
FV Austria XIII	2-4 L	4-3 W
FC 1980 Wien	1-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Red Star Penzing (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Simmeringer SC

LLWLDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
28/08	Team Wiener Linien Austria Landesliga	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
22/08	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	0-5	0-7	1	3	L
13/06	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	0-3	2-4	7	4	L
06/06	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
29/05	FC Stadlau Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	0	1	D
22/05	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
16/05	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
08/05	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
02/05	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-4	5	7	L

Red Star Penzing

LLWWWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Slovan HAC Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
28/08	First Vienna II Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
21/08	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-2	5	5	W
12/06	First Vienna II Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
06/06	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	2-2	4-3	–	–	W
29/05	WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	5	4	W
22/05	Slovan HAC Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	2	4	W
17/05	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
08/05	SV Wienerberg Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-4	6	3	L
24/04	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	5	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Simmeringer SC vs Red Star Penzing?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Red Star Penzing win (64%). Probabilities: Simmeringer SC 16%, draw 20%, Red Star Penzing 64%.

How many goals are expected in Simmeringer SC vs Red Star Penzing?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Simmeringer SC 1.07 · Red Star Penzing 2.26), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Simmeringer SC vs Red Star Penzing?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.