Football · Austria Landesliga · 20/09, 11:00

Prediction: SK Pama vs SV Leithaprodersdorf

Team pages: SK Pama · SV Leithaprodersdorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

SK Pama1.67

SV Leithaprodersdorf1.63

1X2

39% 24% 37%

SK Pama Draw SV Leithaprodersdorf

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Pama 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DDWLLWWLWL

SV Leithaprodersdorf 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLWDLWWD

Head-to-head

SK Pama 1–2 SV Leithaprodersdorf (3 last)

SK Pama1-2SV Leithaprodersdorf
SK Pama1-2SV Leithaprodersdorf
SV Leithaprodersdorf2-3SK Pama

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Pama 1467 · SV Leithaprodersdorf 1519

	SK Pama	Draw	SV Leithaprodersdorf
Our model	38%	25%	37%
Market	39%	24%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Leithaprodersdorf (rating 1467 vs 1519).
H2H favours SV Leithaprodersdorf: 2-0-1.
High corners: 16.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Pama	SV Leithaprodersdorf
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	1.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 7.4	4.3 / 8.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	4.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.80

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:11 +36’	2.30	3.80	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Pama 1–0–2 SV Leithaprodersdorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/08/26 Austria Amateur Cup	SK Pama	1-2 HT 0-2	SV Leithaprodersdorf
01/05/26 Austria Landesliga	SK Pama	1-2 HT 1-2	SV Leithaprodersdorf
10/10/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Leithaprodersdorf	2-3 HT 0-3	SK Pama

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Red Star Penzing	5	5	0	0	13	4	15
2	TWL Elektra	5	5	0	0	12	4	15
3	Sportunion Mauer	4	3	1	0	8	1	10
4	SV Schwechat	5	3	0	2	11	8	9
5	LAC Inter	5	3	0	2	11	12	9
6	Floridsdorfer AC II	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
7	First Vienna II	5	2	0	3	11	11	6
8	FV Austria XIII	5	1	2	2	6	7	5
9	Post SV	4	1	1	2	12	7	4
10	Helfort 15	4	1	1	2	10	6	4
11	Slovan HAC	4	1	1	2	6	5	4
12	WAF Brigittenau	3	1	0	2	5	8	3
13	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	2	1	0	1	3	6	3
14	FC 1980 Wien	5	1	0	4	3	14	3
15	Hellas Kagran	4	0	1	3	2	9	1
16	Simmeringer SC	4	0	0	4	2	16	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Pama	SV Leithaprodersdorf
SC Bad Sauerbrunn	0-5 L	2-2 D
SPG Edelserpentin	4-0 W	3-2 W
SV Eberau	0-0 D	1-0 W
USV Halbturn	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Pama

DDWLLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	SC Bad Sauerbrunn Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
06/09	SPG Edelserpentin Austria Landesliga	4-0	4-0	6	2	W
28/08	ASK Klingenbach Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-4	–	–	L
23/08	St Margarethen/Bur Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
14/08	Oberpullendorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
09/08	Neusiedl Austria Landesliga	1-3	1-3	15	5	L
06/06	ASK Klingenbach Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
30/05	SPG Edelserpentin Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
24/05	SV Eberau Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
15/05	USV Halbturn Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

SV Leithaprodersdorf

WWLLWDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	SV Lackenbach Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
08/09	SC Rust Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-1	17	5	W
29/08	SV Eberau Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
21/08	USV Halbturn Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
14/08	SC Bad Sauerbrunn Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-2	3	6	D
07/08	SPG Edelserpentin Austria Landesliga	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
05/06	ASV Neudorf/Parndorf II Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
30/05	ASK Kohfidisch Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
22/05	ASV Siegendorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
13/05	SC Bad Sauerbrunn Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Pama vs SV Leithaprodersdorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Pama win (39%). Probabilities: SK Pama 39%, draw 24%, SV Leithaprodersdorf 37%.

How many goals are expected in SK Pama vs SV Leithaprodersdorf?

The model expects 3.3 goals (SK Pama 1.67 · SV Leithaprodersdorf 1.63), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Pama vs SV Leithaprodersdorf?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.