Football · Austria Landesliga · 04/09, 19:00

Prediction: SV Schwechat vs SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Team pages: SV Schwechat

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

SV Schwechat2

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf1.21

1X2

55% 23% 22%

SV Schwechat Draw SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Schwechat 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWLDWLLW

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLDLWLLLLW

Head-to-head

SV Schwechat 3–3 SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf (6 last)

SV Schwechat1-0SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf3-2SV Schwechat
SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf3-0SV Schwechat
SV Schwechat1-2SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
SV Schwechat5-1SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
SV Schwechat1-0SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Schwechat 1499 · SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 1447

	SV Schwechat	Draw	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
Our model	55%	24%	22%
Market	55%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Schwechat (rating 1499 vs 1447).
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Schwechat	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1	1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.5 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.7	1.6 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:08 +6’	1.61	4.00	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Schwechat 3–0–3 SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/04/26 Austria Landesliga	SV Schwechat	1-0 HT 0-0	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
10/10/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	3-2 HT 1-0	SV Schwechat
22/03/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	3-0 HT 2-0	SV Schwechat
06/09/24 Austria Landesliga	SV Schwechat	1-2 HT 1-0	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
31/05/24 Austria Landesliga	SV Schwechat	5-1 HT 3-0	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
24/03/23 Austria Landesliga	SV Schwechat	1-0 HT 0-0	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	LAC Inter	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
1	Team Wiener Linien	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
3	Red Star Penzing	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
4	Floridsdorfer AC II	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
5	Sportunion Mauer	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
6	Helfort 15	2	1	0	1	8	2	3
7	SV Schwechat	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
8	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
9	FC 1980 Wien	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
10	FV Austria XIII	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
10	Slovan HAC	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
12	Post SV	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
13	WAF Brigittenau	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
14	First Vienna II	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
15	Hellas Kagran	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
16	Simmeringer SC	2	0	0	2	2	10	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Schwechat	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
Hellas Kagran	2-0 W	1-2 L
LAC Inter	0-3 L	0-3 L
Simmeringer SC	2-1 W	2-1 W
Helfort 15	0-2 L	1-2 L
FC Stadlau	5-0 W	1-1 D
FC 1980 Wien	5-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SV Schwechat (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Schwechat

DWWWLDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
21/08	Sportunion Mauer Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
12/06	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
06/06	Simmeringer SC Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
29/05	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-2	6	4	D
25/05	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
15/05	FC Stadlau Austria Landesliga	3-0	5-0	4	3	W
09/05	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	1-0	5-0	4	5	W
30/04	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
25/04	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	3	2	D

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

DLDLWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Post SV Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
12/06	SV Wienerberg Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-4	5	2	L
29/05	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-2	4	5	L
22/05	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-4	4	0	L
16/05	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	0-3	0-3	6	1	L
08/05	Simmeringer SC Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
30/04	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
24/04	FC Stadlau Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	10	6	D
21/04	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	6	2	L
18/04	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Schwechat vs SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Schwechat win (55%). Probabilities: SV Schwechat 55%, draw 23%, SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 22%.

How many goals are expected in SV Schwechat vs SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf?

The model expects 3.2 goals (SV Schwechat 2 · SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 1.21), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Schwechat vs SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.