Football · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen · 15/08, 13:00

Prediction: Midtjylland (W) vs Kolding IF (W)

Team pages: Midtjylland (W) · Kolding IF (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

Midtjylland (W)1.9

Kolding IF (W)1.13

1X2

55% 22% 22%

Midtjylland (W) Draw Kolding IF (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Midtjylland (W) 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDWDLDDD

Kolding IF (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLLDLW

Head-to-head

Midtjylland (W) 3–1–2 Kolding IF (W) (6 last)

Kolding IF (W)0-0Midtjylland (W)
Kolding IF (W)3-1Midtjylland (W)
Midtjylland (W)2-0Kolding IF (W)
Kolding IF (W)2-0Midtjylland (W)
Kolding IF (W)0-1Midtjylland (W)
Midtjylland (W)2-1Kolding IF (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Midtjylland (W) 1511 · Kolding IF (W) 1467

	Midtjylland (W)	Draw	Kolding IF (W)
Our model	54%	24%	21%
Market	56%	21%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Midtjylland (W) (rating 1511 vs 1467).
H2H favours Midtjylland (W): 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Midtjylland (W)	Kolding IF (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.9	1.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.4 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/29/43%	11/22/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 5.7	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.60

X4.33

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.42▼	Pinn 1.58 ★
X	4.33 → 4.75▲	Bet365 4.75
2	3.90 → 5.00▲	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
18:41 +14’	1.60	4.33	3.90
01:03 +3’	1.42▼	4.75▲	5.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:54	1.65	4.08	3.96
01:06 +1’	1.58▼	4.18▲	4.26▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Midtjylland (W) 3–1–2 Kolding IF (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/07/26 Women’s Friendly	Kolding IF (W)	0-0	Midtjylland (W)
06/12/25 Denmark Cup Women	Kolding IF (W)	3-1 HT 2-0	Midtjylland (W)
11/11/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	Midtjylland (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Kolding IF (W)
26/08/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	Kolding IF (W)	2-0	Midtjylland (W)
24/05/25 Denmark Play-Offs Women	Kolding IF (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Midtjylland (W)
12/04/25 Denmark Play-Offs Women	Midtjylland (W)	2-1 HT 2-0	Kolding IF (W)

Standings · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HB Koge (W)	2	2	0	0	7	0	6
2	Odense BK (W)	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
3	Fortuna Hjørring (W)	2	1	1	0	6	2	4
4	Kolding IF (W)	2	1	0	1	6	6	3
5	ASA Aarhus (W)	2	1	0	1	3	5	3
6	Brondby (W)	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
7	Midtjylland (W)	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
8	FC Nordsjaelland (W)	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
9	FC Copenhagen (W)	2	0	0	2	1	5	0
10	AGF (W)	2	0	0	2	1	7	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Midtjylland (W)	Kolding IF (W)
Fortuna Hjørring (W)	0-0 D	2-6 L
Brondby (W)	1-1 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Midtjylland (W) (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Midtjylland (W)

WLWDWDLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/08	Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
25/07	Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	1-1	4	1	D
10/07	Kolding IF (W) Women’s Friendly	–	0-0	–	–	D
13/06	FC Copenhagen (W) Denmark Play-Offs Women	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
30/05	Odense BK (W) Denmark Play-Offs Women	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
22/05	FC Thy-Thisted Q (W) Denmark Play-Offs Women	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
02/05	ASA Aarhus (W) Denmark Play-Offs Women	–	1-1	–	–	D
25/04	FC Copenhagen (W) Denmark Play-Offs Women	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
04/04	Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
28/03	FC Thy-Thisted Q (W) Denmark Play-Offs Women	–	4-1	–	–	W

Kolding IF (W)

WLWLLLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-0	4-0	10	2	W
28/07	Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-3	2-6	2	3	L
10/07	Midtjylland (W) Women’s Friendly	–	0-0	–	–	D
13/06	HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-3	1-3	2	3	L
28/05	Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
22/05	Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-1	2-3	2	2	L
10/05	FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-2	1-5	2	2	L
05/05	AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
24/04	HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-2	0-2	4	0	L
05/04	Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	2-1	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Midtjylland (W) vs Kolding IF (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Midtjylland (W) win (55%). Probabilities: Midtjylland (W) 55%, draw 22%, Kolding IF (W) 22%.

How many goals are expected in Midtjylland (W) vs Kolding IF (W)?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Midtjylland (W) 1.9 · Kolding IF (W) 1.13), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Midtjylland (W) vs Kolding IF (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.