Football · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen · 19/08, 19:00
Prediction: Fortuna Hjørring (W) vs AGF (W)
Team pages: Fortuna Hjørring (W) · AGF (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Fortuna Hjørring (W)2.1
AGF (W)0.75
1X2
Fortuna Hjørring (W)
Draw
AGF (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Fortuna Hjørring (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
AGF (W)
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fortuna Hjørring (W)
4–1–1
AGF (W)
(6 last)
- Fortuna Hjørring (W)2-1AGF (W)
- AGF (W)1-2Fortuna Hjørring (W)
- AGF (W)2-1Fortuna Hjørring (W)
- Fortuna Hjørring (W)4-0AGF (W)
- Fortuna Hjørring (W)1-0AGF (W)
- AGF (W)2-2Fortuna Hjørring (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fortuna Hjørring (W) 1541 · AGF (W) 1373
| Fortuna Hjørring (W) | Draw | AGF (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 21% | 11% |
| Market | 68% | 20% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.84 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fortuna Hjørring (W) (rating 1541 vs 1373).
- H2H favours Fortuna Hjørring (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fortuna Hjørring (W) | AGF (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 0.3 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.8 | 2.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fortuna Hjørring (W) 4–1–1 AGF (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 2-1 HT 2-1 | AGF (W) |
| 24/03/26 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | AGF (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Fortuna Hjørring (W) |
| 08/11/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | AGF (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Fortuna Hjørring (W) |
| 23/08/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 4-0 HT 3-0 | AGF (W) |
| 24/05/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AGF (W) |
| 15/03/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | AGF (W) | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Fortuna Hjørring (W) |
Standings · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HB Koge (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Odense BK (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Brondby (W) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 5 | Midtjylland (W) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Kolding IF (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
| 8 | ASA Aarhus (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Copenhagen (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 | AGF (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fortuna Hjørring (W) | AGF (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Kolding IF (W) | 6-2 W | 0-4 L |
| FC Nordsjaelland (W) | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| HB Koge (W) | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Brondby (W) | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Fortuna Hjørring (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fortuna Hjørring (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
2-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 04/08 | Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 28/07 | Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
3-1 | 6-2 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 28/05 | Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 05/04 | Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
AGF (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | ASA Aarhus (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 09/05 | Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 05/05 | Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/04 | Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/04 | HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fortuna Hjørring (W) vs AGF (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fortuna Hjørring (W) win (68%). Probabilities: Fortuna Hjørring (W) 68%, draw 20%, AGF (W) 12%.
How many goals are expected in Fortuna Hjørring (W) vs AGF (W)?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Fortuna Hjørring (W) 2.1 · AGF (W) 0.75), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Fortuna Hjørring (W) vs AGF (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.