Football · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen · 05/09, 13:00
Prediction: HB Koge (W) vs FC Nordsjaelland (W)
Team pages: HB Koge (W) · FC Nordsjaelland (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
HB Koge (W)2.12
FC Nordsjaelland (W)1.21
1X2
HB Koge (W)
Draw
FC Nordsjaelland (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
HB Koge (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
FC Nordsjaelland (W)
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
HB Koge (W)
3–3–0
FC Nordsjaelland (W)
(6 last)
- FC Nordsjaelland (W)1-4HB Koge (W)
- FC Nordsjaelland (W)1-1HB Koge (W)
- HB Koge (W)3-3FC Nordsjaelland (W)
- HB Koge (W)2-2FC Nordsjaelland (W)
- FC Nordsjaelland (W)2-3HB Koge (W)
- FC Nordsjaelland (W)0-1HB Koge (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · HB Koge (W) 1650 · FC Nordsjaelland (W) 1551
| HB Koge (W) | Draw | FC Nordsjaelland (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 22% | 20% |
| Market | 57% | 23% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HB Koge (W) (rating 1650 vs 1551).
- H2H favours HB Koge (W): 3-3-0.
- High corners: 15.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HB Koge (W) | FC Nordsjaelland (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.4 | 2.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.1 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 5 / 9.7 | 2.4 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HB Koge (W) 3–3–0 FC Nordsjaelland (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Denmark Cup Women | FC Nordsjaelland (W) | 1-4 HT 0-2 | HB Koge (W) |
| 03/05/26 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | FC Nordsjaelland (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | HB Koge (W) |
| 14/03/26 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | HB Koge (W) | 3-3 HT 0-1 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) |
| 15/11/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | HB Koge (W) | 2-2 HT 1-0 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) |
| 29/09/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | FC Nordsjaelland (W) | 2-3 HT 2-0 | HB Koge (W) |
| 07/06/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | FC Nordsjaelland (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | HB Koge (W) |
Standings · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HB Koge (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | Midtjylland (W) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Kolding IF (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 6 |
| 6 | Odense BK (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
| 7 | ASA Aarhus (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
| 8 | Brondby (W) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 5 |
| 9 | FC Copenhagen (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 3 |
| 10 | AGF (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HB Koge (W) | FC Nordsjaelland (W) |
|---|---|---|
| AGF (W) | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Brondby (W) | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Odense BK (W) | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| ASA Aarhus (W) | 4-0 W | 3-1 W |
| FC Copenhagen (W) | 3-0 W | 9-1 W |
| Kolding IF (W) | 3-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: HB Koge (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HB Koge (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 19/08 | Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | ASA Aarhus (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
3-0 | 4-0 | 23 | 0 | W |
| 28/07 | FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
3-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
3-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
FC Nordsjaelland (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
6-0 | 9-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | ASA Aarhus (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 26/07 | Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 10/05 | Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
2-1 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HB Koge (W) vs FC Nordsjaelland (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a HB Koge (W) win (57%). Probabilities: HB Koge (W) 57%, draw 23%, FC Nordsjaelland (W) 20%.
How many goals are expected in HB Koge (W) vs FC Nordsjaelland (W)?
The model expects 3.33 goals (HB Koge (W) 2.12 · FC Nordsjaelland (W) 1.21), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in HB Koge (W) vs FC Nordsjaelland (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.