Football · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen · 05/09, 13:00

Prediction: Midtjylland (W) vs AGF (W)

Team pages: Midtjylland (W) · AGF (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
Midtjylland (W)2.41
AGF (W)0.61
1X2
77% 16% 7%
Midtjylland (W) Draw AGF (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Midtjylland (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DWLDLDDWWW
AGF (W) 0-1-9 (W-D-L)
LLDLLLLLLL
Head-to-head
Midtjylland (W) 0–2 AGF (W) (2 last)
  • Midtjylland (W)2-3AGF (W)
  • AGF (W)4-0Midtjylland (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Midtjylland (W) 1537 · AGF (W) 1406
Midtjylland (W)DrawAGF (W)
Our model77%17%7%
Market78%15%8%
Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Midtjylland (W) (rating 1537 vs 1406).
  • H2H favours AGF (W): 2-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Midtjylland (W)AGF (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.10.3 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.50.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 51.8 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 0.12.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Midtjylland (W) 002 AGF (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/11/25
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
Midtjylland (W)2-3
HT 0-1
AGF (W)
27/09/25
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
AGF (W)4-0
HT 2-0
Midtjylland (W)

Standings · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 HB Koge (W) 5500 14115
2 Midtjylland (W) 5320 10311
3 FC Nordsjaelland (W) 5311 17410
4 Fortuna Hjørring (W) 5311 14510
5 Kolding IF (W) 5203 10146
6 Odense BK (W) 5203 496
7 ASA Aarhus (W) 5203 7136
8 Brondby (W) 5122 775
9 FC Copenhagen (W) 5104 6193
10 AGF (W) 5005 1150

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMidtjylland (W)AGF (W)
ASA Aarhus (W) 4-1 W 1-3 L
Kolding IF (W) 3-1 W 0-4 L
Fortuna Hjørring (W) 0-0 D 0-3 L
Brondby (W) 1-1 D 0-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Midtjylland (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Midtjylland (W)

DWLDLDDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Odense BK (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
1-0 2-0 53 W
22/08 ASA Aarhus (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
2-0 4-1 20 W
15/08 Kolding IF (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
2-0 3-1 52 W
04/08 Fortuna Hjørring (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
0-0 0-0 73 D
25/07 Brondby (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
0-1 1-1 41 D
04/04 Odense BK (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
0-2 1-3 63 L
22/11 Brondby (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
1-1 1-1 94 D
16/11 AGF (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
0-1 2-3 22 L
11/11 Kolding IF (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
1-0 2-0 72 W
04/11 Fortuna Hjørring (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
1-0 1-1 31 D

AGF (W)

LLDLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 HB Koge (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
0-1 0-2 03 L
19/08 Fortuna Hjørring (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
0-2 0-3 10 L
16/08 Brondby (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
0-1 0-3 73 L
02/08 Kolding IF (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
0-0 0-4 42 L
25/07 ASA Aarhus (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
1-2 1-3 32 L
13/06 Brondby (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
0-2 0-3 101 L
31/05 HB Koge (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
0-3 0-3 30 L
24/05 FC Nordsjaelland (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
0-0 0-0 29 D
09/05 Fortuna Hjørring (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
1-2 1-2 40 L
05/05 Kolding IF (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
1-0 1-2 23 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Midtjylland (W) vs AGF (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Midtjylland (W) win (77%). Probabilities: Midtjylland (W) 77%, draw 16%, AGF (W) 7%.

How many goals are expected in Midtjylland (W) vs AGF (W)?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Midtjylland (W) 2.41 · AGF (W) 0.61), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Midtjylland (W) vs AGF (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.