Football · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen · 15/08, 13:00
Prediction: HB Koge (W) vs Odense BK (W)
Team pages: HB Koge (W) · Odense BK (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
HB Koge (W)2.58
Odense BK (W)0.58
1X2
HB Koge (W)
Draw
Odense BK (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
HB Koge (W)
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Odense BK (W)
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
HB Koge (W)
2–4–0
Odense BK (W)
(6 last)
- Odense BK (W)0-4HB Koge (W)
- HB Koge (W)3-1Odense BK (W)
- Odense BK (W)1-1HB Koge (W)
- Odense BK (W)1-1HB Koge (W)
- HB Koge (W)0-0Odense BK (W)
- Odense BK (W)1-1HB Koge (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · HB Koge (W) 1642 · Odense BK (W) 1535
| HB Koge (W) | Draw | Odense BK (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 80% | 15% | 6% |
| Market | 85% | 10% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HB Koge (W) (rating 1642 vs 1535).
- H2H favours HB Koge (W): 2-4-0.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HB Koge (W) | Odense BK (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/22/22% | 71/29/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 5.8 / 10.4 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HB Koge (W) 2–4–0 Odense BK (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | Odense BK (W) | 0-4 HT 0-3 | HB Koge (W) |
| 12/08/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | HB Koge (W) | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Odense BK (W) |
| 05/08/25 Women’s Friendly | Odense BK (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | HB Koge (W) |
| 10/05/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | Odense BK (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | HB Koge (W) |
| 21/03/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | HB Koge (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Odense BK (W) |
| 12/10/24 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | Odense BK (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | HB Koge (W) |
Standings · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HB Koge (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Odense BK (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Kolding IF (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 5 | ASA Aarhus (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 6 | Brondby (W) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 7 | Midtjylland (W) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 8 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | FC Copenhagen (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 | AGF (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HB Koge (W) | Odense BK (W) |
|---|---|---|
| ASA Aarhus (W) | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| FC Copenhagen (W) | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| FC Nordsjaelland (W) | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: HB Koge (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HB Koge (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Hearts (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying |
0-1 | 2-1 | 17 | 2 | W |
| 05/08 | Riga FC (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying |
1-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | ASA Aarhus (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
3-0 | 4-0 | 23 | 0 | W |
| 28/07 | FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 14/07 | FC Copenhagen (W) Women’s Friendly |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
3-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
3-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) Denmark Cup Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | L |
Odense BK (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Osterbro IF (W) Denmark Play-Offs Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Midtjylland (W) Denmark Play-Offs Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | ASA Aarhus (W) Denmark Play-Offs Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | FC Thy-Thisted Q (W) Denmark Play-Offs Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | FC Copenhagen (W) Denmark Play-Offs Women |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Osterbro IF (W) Denmark Play-Offs Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | ASA Aarhus (W) Denmark Play-Offs Women |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HB Koge (W) vs Odense BK (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a HB Koge (W) win (82%). Probabilities: HB Koge (W) 82%, draw 12%, Odense BK (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in HB Koge (W) vs Odense BK (W)?
The model expects 3.17 goals (HB Koge (W) 2.58 · Odense BK (W) 0.58), with a 59% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in HB Koge (W) vs Odense BK (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.