Football · Germany Regionalliga North · 09/08, 14:00

Prediction: St Pauli II vs Bremer SV

Team pages: Bremer SV

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

St Pauli II1.65

Bremer SV1.52

1X2

40% 26% 34%

St Pauli II Draw Bremer SV

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

St Pauli II 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDDDLWDL

Bremer SV 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWDDLDLL

Head-to-head

St Pauli II 0–3–3 Bremer SV (6 last)

St Pauli II1-1Bremer SV
Bremer SV1-0St Pauli II
Bremer SV2-0St Pauli II
St Pauli II1-1Bremer SV
St Pauli II1-2Bremer SV
Bremer SV1-1St Pauli II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bremer SV: 3-3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	St Pauli II	Bremer SV
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.3	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 5	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	– / –

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.76

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:19

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.97 → 1.92▼	Pinn 1.92
X	3.40 → 3.43▲	Pinn 3.43
2	3.16 → 3.27▲	Pinn 3.27

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
19:51	1.97	3.40	3.16
00:19 +1’	1.92▼	3.43▲	3.27▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · St Pauli II 0–3–3 Bremer SV

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/05/26 Germany Regionalliga North	St Pauli II	1-1 HT 1-0	Bremer SV
03/08/25 Germany Regionalliga North	Bremer SV	1-0 HT 0-0	St Pauli II
18/05/25 Germany Regionalliga North	Bremer SV	2-0 HT 1-0	St Pauli II
03/11/24 Germany Regionalliga North	St Pauli II	1-1 HT 1-1	Bremer SV
05/05/24 Germany Regionalliga North	St Pauli II	1-2 HT 1-0	Bremer SV
04/11/23 Germany Regionalliga North	Bremer SV	1-1 HT 1-1	St Pauli II

Standings · Germany Regionalliga North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VfB Oldenburg	2	2	0	0	6	1	6
2	Hannover II	2	2	0	0	5	0	6
3	SC Weiche Flensburg 08	2	1	1	0	6	3	4
4	SV Atlas Delmenhorst	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
5	Kickers Emden	2	1	1	0	7	6	4
6	SV Todesfelde	1	1	0	0	6	4	3
7	FSV Schoningen	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
8	SV Drochtersen-Assel	2	1	0	1	3	4	3
9	Eintracht Norderstedt	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
10	HSC Hannover	2	0	1	1	4	6	1
11	Vfb Lubeck	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
12	Hamburg SV II	1	0	0	1	2	3	0
13	Phonix Lubeck	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
14	St Pauli II	1	0	0	1	4	6	0
15	SSV Jeddeloh	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
16	Eimsbutteler TV	1	0	0	1	2	5	0
17	Bremer SV	1	0	0	1	0	3	0
17	Werder Bremen II	1	0	0	1	0	3	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	St Pauli II	Bremer SV
Eintracht Norderstedt	1-1 D	2-0 W
SV Meppen	2-4 L	3-2 W
Altona 93	1-1 D	1-1 D
Hannover II	0-1 L	0-3 L
VfB Oldenburg	1-4 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bremer SV (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

St Pauli II

LLLDDDLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	SV Todesfelde Germany Regionalliga North	1-1	4-6	–	–	L
26/07	Eintracht Norderstedt Club Friendly List	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
02/07	TuS Dassendorf Club Friendly List	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
16/05	SV Meppen Germany Regionalliga North	1-3	2-4	–	–	L
10/05	Hamburg SV II Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
06/05	Bremer SV Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
02/05	Altona 93 Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
25/04	Hannover II Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
22/04	Phonix Lubeck Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
19/04	VfB Oldenburg Germany Regionalliga North	0-2	1-4	–	–	L

Bremer SV

DWWWDDLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Hannover II Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
26/07	Verl Europe Friendlies	1-3	1-6	–	–	L
11/07	Altona 93 Club Friendly List	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
16/05	Hannover II Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
10/05	VfB Oldenburg Germany Regionalliga North	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
06/05	St Pauli II Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
02/05	SV Meppen Germany Regionalliga North	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
26/04	Eintracht Norderstedt Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/04	Werder Bremen II Germany Regionalliga North	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
11/04	SC Weiche Flensburg 08 Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St Pauli II vs Bremer SV?

According to our model, the most likely result is a St Pauli II win (40%). Probabilities: St Pauli II 40%, draw 26%, Bremer SV 34%.

How many goals are expected in St Pauli II vs Bremer SV?

The model expects 3.17 goals (St Pauli II 1.65 · Bremer SV 1.52), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in St Pauli II vs Bremer SV?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.