Football · Germany Regionalliga North · 16/08, 14:00
Prediction: St Pauli II vs Werder Bremen II
Team pages: St Pauli II · Werder Bremen II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
St Pauli II1.68
Werder Bremen II1.66
1X2
St Pauli II
Draw
Werder Bremen II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
St Pauli II
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Werder Bremen II
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
St Pauli II
1–5
Werder Bremen II
(6 last)
- Werder Bremen II2-1St Pauli II
- St Pauli II2-3Werder Bremen II
- Werder Bremen II3-1St Pauli II
- St Pauli II1-5Werder Bremen II
- St Pauli II2-1Werder Bremen II
- Werder Bremen II2-0St Pauli II
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Werder Bremen II (rating 1445 vs 1498).
- H2H favours Werder Bremen II: 5-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St Pauli II | Werder Bremen II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.9 | 1.6 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5 | 3 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 0.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · St Pauli II 1–0–5 Werder Bremen II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/25 Germany Regionalliga North | Werder Bremen II | 2-1 HT 0-1 | St Pauli II |
| 10/08/25 Germany Regionalliga North | St Pauli II | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Werder Bremen II |
| 17/04/25 Germany Regionalliga North | Werder Bremen II | 3-1 HT 1-0 | St Pauli II |
| 22/09/24 Germany Regionalliga North | St Pauli II | 1-5 HT 1-3 | Werder Bremen II |
| 30/11/22 Germany Regionalliga North | St Pauli II | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Werder Bremen II |
| 14/08/22 Germany Regionalliga North | Werder Bremen II | 2-0 HT 2-0 | St Pauli II |
Standings · Germany Regionalliga North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfB Oldenburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Hannover II | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | SC Weiche Flensburg 08 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Phonix Lubeck | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | FSV Schoningen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | SV Todesfelde | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 9 | 5 |
| 7 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 5 |
| 8 | HSC Hannover | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | SV Atlas Delmenhorst | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Bremer SV | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Kickers Emden | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 4 |
| 12 | SV Drochtersen-Assel | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Eimsbutteler TV | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
| 14 | SSV Jeddeloh | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 15 | Vfb Lubeck | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 16 | Hamburg SV II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 18 | St Pauli II | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | St Pauli II | Werder Bremen II |
|---|---|---|
| SSV Jeddeloh | 0-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Bremer SV | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| SV Todesfelde | 4-6 L | 3-3 D |
| Hamburg SV II | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Hannover II | 0-1 L | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Werder Bremen II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St Pauli II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | SSV Jeddeloh Germany Regionalliga North |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/08 | Bremer SV Germany Regionalliga North |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/08 | SV Todesfelde Germany Regionalliga North |
1-1 | 4-6 | – | – | L |
| 26/07 | Eintracht Norderstedt Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 02/07 | TuS Dassendorf Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | SV Meppen Germany Regionalliga North |
1-3 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Hamburg SV II Germany Regionalliga North |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/05 | Bremer SV Germany Regionalliga North |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Altona 93 Germany Regionalliga North |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Hannover II Germany Regionalliga North |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Werder Bremen II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | SV Todesfelde Germany Regionalliga North |
2-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 31/07 | VfB Oldenburg Germany Regionalliga North |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/07 | Sportfreunde Lotte Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 03/07 | FC Utrecht Reserves Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | VfB Oldenburg Germany Regionalliga North |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | SSV Jeddeloh Germany Regionalliga North |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Hannover II Germany Regionalliga North |
1-1 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Hamburg SV II Germany Regionalliga North |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Bremer SV Germany Regionalliga North |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/04 | Kickers Emden Germany Regionalliga North |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St Pauli II vs Werder Bremen II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a St Pauli II win (38%). Probabilities: St Pauli II 38%, draw 25%, Werder Bremen II 37%.
How many goals are expected in St Pauli II vs Werder Bremen II?
The model expects 3.34 goals (St Pauli II 1.68 · Werder Bremen II 1.66), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in St Pauli II vs Werder Bremen II?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.