Football · Germany Regionalliga North · 18/10, 14:00

Prediction: Hamburg SV II vs VfB Oldenburg

Team pages: Hamburg SV II · VfB Oldenburg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.89Total

Hamburg SV II1.93

VfB Oldenburg1.96

1X2

38% 23% 39%

Hamburg SV II Draw VfB Oldenburg

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Hamburg SV II 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLLWLW

VfB Oldenburg 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWWLLW

Head-to-head

Hamburg SV II 1–3–2 VfB Oldenburg (6 last)

VfB Oldenburg0-0Hamburg SV II
Hamburg SV II0-4VfB Oldenburg
VfB Oldenburg0-0Hamburg SV II
Hamburg SV II5-0VfB Oldenburg
Hamburg SV II0-2VfB Oldenburg
VfB Oldenburg0-0Hamburg SV II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VfB Oldenburg (rating 1481 vs 1541).
H2H favours VfB Oldenburg: 2-3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hamburg SV II	VfB Oldenburg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.1	3.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	– / –

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 42.02

Under 41.81

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 8 moves · last 13:33

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	5.23 → 5.02▼	Pinn 5.02
X	4.78 → 4.84▲	Pinn 4.84
2	1.44 → 1.49▲	Pinn 1.49

See the full journey (8)

Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:14 +125’	5.23	4.78	1.44
21:44 +32’	5.26▲	4.86▲	1.44▼
00:17 +52’	5.37▲	4.97▲	1.42▼
08:19 +46’	5.43▲	5.11▲	1.40▼
10:01 +5’	5.41▼	4.99▼	1.41▲
10:54 +15’	5.32▼	5.06▲	1.41
12:01 +9’	5.25▼	4.93▼	1.46▲
13:31 +1’	5.02▼	4.84▼	1.49▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hamburg SV II 1–3–2 VfB Oldenburg

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/12/25 Germany Regionalliga North	VfB Oldenburg	0-0 HT 0-0	Hamburg SV II
24/08/25 Germany Regionalliga North	Hamburg SV II	0-4 HT 0-3	VfB Oldenburg
22/03/25 Germany Regionalliga North	VfB Oldenburg	0-0 HT 0-0	Hamburg SV II
22/09/24 Germany Regionalliga North	Hamburg SV II	5-0 HT 4-0	VfB Oldenburg
24/04/24 Germany Regionalliga North	Hamburg SV II	0-2 HT 0-2	VfB Oldenburg
01/09/23 Germany Regionalliga North	VfB Oldenburg	0-0 HT 0-0	Hamburg SV II

Standings · Germany Regionalliga North

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SC Weiche Flensburg 08	14	11	1	2	43	14	34
2	Hannover II	14	9	3	2	32	18	30
3	SV Drochtersen-Assel	14	9	1	4	43	21	28
4	Phonix Lubeck	13	8	3	2	36	12	27
5	VfB Oldenburg	12	8	1	3	37	17	25
6	FSV Schoningen	14	7	3	4	22	24	24
7	SV Atlas Delmenhorst	13	5	4	4	19	20	19
8	Kickers Emden	14	5	4	5	34	38	19
9	Vfb Lubeck	14	4	6	4	20	23	18
10	HSC Hannover	13	4	4	5	21	29	16
11	Eimsbutteler TV	13	4	2	7	21	35	14
12	Eintracht Norderstedt	12	3	4	5	24	31	13
13	Hamburg SV II	12	4	1	7	18	26	13
14	SSV Jeddeloh	14	4	1	9	22	36	13
15	Werder Bremen II	13	3	3	7	18	23	12
16	SV Todesfelde	13	3	2	8	21	42	11
17	St Pauli II	13	3	1	9	24	29	10
18	Bremer SV	13	2	2	9	9	26	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hamburg SV II	VfB Oldenburg
FSV Schoningen	3-1 W	0-1 L
SC Weiche Flensburg 08	0-4 L	2-3 L
SSV Jeddeloh	3-1 W	1-3 L
Eintracht Norderstedt	0-2 L	4-1 W
Vfb Lubeck	3-1 W	1-1 D
Eimsbutteler TV	0-2 L	7-3 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hamburg SV II

LLWLWLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FSV Schoningen Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
26/09	SV Atlas Delmenhorst Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
20/09	HSC Hannover Germany Regionalliga North	3-0	4-0	–	–	W
16/09	St Pauli II Germany Regionalliga North	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
11/09	SC Weiche Flensburg 08 Germany Regionalliga North	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
05/09	SSV Jeddeloh Germany Regionalliga North	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
30/08	Eintracht Norderstedt Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
26/08	Vfb Lubeck Germany Regionalliga North	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
21/08	Eimsbutteler TV Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
16/08	SV Drochtersen-Assel Germany Regionalliga North	0-4	1-4	–	–	L

VfB Oldenburg

DWWWLWWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Kickers Emden Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
03/10	SC Weiche Flensburg 08 Germany Regionalliga North	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
19/09	SSV Jeddeloh Germany Regionalliga North	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
16/09	Bremer SV Germany Regionalliga North	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
11/09	Hannover II Germany Regionalliga North	0-2	4-3	–	–	W
06/09	FSV Schoningen Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Eimsbutteler TV Germany Regionalliga North	2-1	7-3	–	–	W
26/08	SV Todesfelde Germany Regionalliga North	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
15/08	Eintracht Norderstedt Germany Regionalliga North	1-1	4-1	–	–	W
11/08	Vfb Lubeck Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hamburg SV II vs VfB Oldenburg?

According to our model, the most likely result is an VfB Oldenburg win (39%). Probabilities: Hamburg SV II 38%, draw 23%, VfB Oldenburg 39%.

How many goals are expected in Hamburg SV II vs VfB Oldenburg?

The model expects 3.89 goals (Hamburg SV II 1.93 · VfB Oldenburg 1.96), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Hamburg SV II vs VfB Oldenburg?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.