Football · Germany Regionalliga North · 17/10, 18:00

Prediction: Kickers Emden vs Phonix Lubeck

Team pages: Kickers Emden · Phonix Lubeck

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.88Total

Kickers Emden1.81

Phonix Lubeck2.07

1X2

34% 22% 44%

Kickers Emden Draw Phonix Lubeck

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Kickers Emden 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDDWWLWWLL

Phonix Lubeck 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDWWWWLW

Head-to-head

Kickers Emden 1–1–3 Phonix Lubeck (5 last)

Phonix Lubeck2-0Kickers Emden
Kickers Emden0-3Phonix Lubeck
Phonix Lubeck1-1Kickers Emden
Phonix Lubeck1-2Kickers Emden
Kickers Emden0-3Phonix Lubeck

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Phonix Lubeck (rating 1488 vs 1581).
H2H favours Phonix Lubeck: 3-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kickers Emden	Phonix Lubeck
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 2.4	3.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1	1.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	– / –

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 6 moves · last 11:59

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.37 → 3.91▲	Pinn 3.91
X	3.82 → 4.10▲	Pinn 4.10
2	1.88 → 1.69▼	Pinn 1.69

See the full journey (6)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:27 +44’	3.37	3.82	1.88
07:23 +3’	3.94▲	4.05▲	1.69▼
08:25 +2’	4.01▲	4.06▲	1.68▼
08:34 +50’	3.81▼	3.98▼	1.73▲
09:26 +55’	3.92▲	4.02▲	1.70▼
11:58 +1’	3.91▼	4.10▲	1.69▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kickers Emden 1–1–3 Phonix Lubeck

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Germany Regionalliga North	Phonix Lubeck	2-0 HT 1-0	Kickers Emden
09/11/24 Germany Regionalliga North	Kickers Emden	0-3 HT 0-1	Phonix Lubeck
03/09/24 Germany Regionalliga North	Phonix Lubeck	1-1 HT 0-0	Kickers Emden
02/04/23 Germany Regionalliga North	Phonix Lubeck	1-2 HT 1-0	Kickers Emden
01/10/22 Germany Regionalliga North	Kickers Emden	0-3 HT 0-2	Phonix Lubeck

Standings · Germany Regionalliga North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SC Weiche Flensburg 08	14	11	1	2	43	14	34
2	SV Drochtersen-Assel	14	9	1	4	43	21	28
3	Hannover II	13	8	3	2	28	16	27
4	Phonix Lubeck	12	8	2	2	34	10	26
5	VfB Oldenburg	12	8	1	3	37	17	25
6	FSV Schoningen	13	7	3	3	20	20	24
7	SV Atlas Delmenhorst	13	5	4	4	19	20	19
8	Kickers Emden	13	5	3	5	32	36	18
9	HSC Hannover	13	4	4	5	21	29	16
10	Vfb Lubeck	13	3	6	4	16	22	15
11	Eimsbutteler TV	13	4	2	7	21	35	14
12	Eintracht Norderstedt	12	3	4	5	24	31	13
13	Hamburg SV II	12	4	1	7	18	26	13
14	Werder Bremen II	12	3	3	6	16	20	12
15	SV Todesfelde	13	3	2	8	21	42	11
16	St Pauli II	12	3	1	8	23	25	10
17	SSV Jeddeloh	13	3	1	9	19	34	10
18	Bremer SV	13	2	2	9	9	26	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kickers Emden	Phonix Lubeck
SV Todesfelde	1-2 L	9-0 W
St Pauli II	2-0 W	2-2 D
SSV Jeddeloh	4-1 W	2-0 W
Bremer SV	3-2 W	0-0 D
Hannover II	1-1 D	2-3 L
Eimsbutteler TV	2-3 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kickers Emden (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kickers Emden

LDDWWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	VfB Oldenburg Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
03/10	SV Todesfelde Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
26/09	St Pauli II Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/09	FSV Schoningen Germany Regionalliga North	3-0	5-0	–	–	W
15/09	SV Drochtersen-Assel Germany Regionalliga North	2-4	2-8	–	–	L
12/09	SSV Jeddeloh Germany Regionalliga North	3-1	4-1	–	–	W
06/09	Bremer SV Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	3-2	–	–	W
29/08	Hannover II Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
26/08	SV Atlas Delmenhorst Germany Regionalliga North	1-2	3-3	–	–	D
15/08	Eimsbutteler TV Germany Regionalliga North	2-1	2-3	–	–	L

Phonix Lubeck

WDWDWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Eintracht Norderstedt Germany Regionalliga North	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
03/10	Hannover II Germany Regionalliga North	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
19/09	SC Weiche Flensburg 08 Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
16/09	SV Todesfelde Germany Regionalliga North	4-0	9-0	–	–	W
12/09	Eimsbutteler TV Germany Regionalliga North	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
02/09	HSC Hannover Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
30/08	St Pauli II Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
15/08	Vfb Lubeck Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
12/08	Bremer SV Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
09/08	SSV Jeddeloh Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kickers Emden vs Phonix Lubeck?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Phonix Lubeck win (44%). Probabilities: Kickers Emden 34%, draw 22%, Phonix Lubeck 44%.

How many goals are expected in Kickers Emden vs Phonix Lubeck?

The model expects 3.88 goals (Kickers Emden 1.81 · Phonix Lubeck 2.07), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kickers Emden vs Phonix Lubeck?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.