Football · Germany Regionalliga North · 17/10, 14:00

Prediction: Vfb Lubeck vs St Pauli II

Team pages: Vfb Lubeck · St Pauli II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Vfb Lubeck1.76

St Pauli II1.27

1X2

48% 26% 27%

Vfb Lubeck Draw St Pauli II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Vfb Lubeck 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DLLLDDDWDW

St Pauli II 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLDLWWLLL

Head-to-head

Vfb Lubeck 2–3–1 St Pauli II (6 last)

St Pauli II1-1Vfb Lubeck
Vfb Lubeck1-1St Pauli II
Vfb Lubeck2-0St Pauli II
St Pauli II1-3Vfb Lubeck
St Pauli II2-1Vfb Lubeck
Vfb Lubeck1-1St Pauli II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Vfb Lubeck: 2-3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vfb Lubeck	St Pauli II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.7	1.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	– / –

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.94

Under 3.251.84

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:56

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.02 → 2.02	Pinn 2.02
X	3.59 → 3.59	Pinn 3.59
2	3.13 → 3.13	Pinn 3.13

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:20 +96’	2.02	3.59	3.13

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vfb Lubeck 2–3–1 St Pauli II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/11/25 Germany Regionalliga North	St Pauli II	1-1 HT 0-1	Vfb Lubeck
28/10/25 Germany Regionalliga North	Vfb Lubeck	1-1 HT 1-1	St Pauli II
14/12/24 Germany Regionalliga North	Vfb Lubeck	2-0 HT 0-0	St Pauli II
29/10/24 Germany Regionalliga North	St Pauli II	1-3 HT 0-1	Vfb Lubeck
19/03/23 Germany Regionalliga North	St Pauli II	2-1 HT 0-1	Vfb Lubeck
18/09/22 Germany Regionalliga North	Vfb Lubeck	1-1 HT 0-1	St Pauli II

Standings · Germany Regionalliga North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SC Weiche Flensburg 08	13	10	1	2	40	14	31
2	SV Drochtersen-Assel	13	9	1	3	43	18	28
3	Hannover II	13	8	3	2	28	16	27
4	Phonix Lubeck	12	8	2	2	34	10	26
5	VfB Oldenburg	12	8	1	3	37	17	25
6	FSV Schoningen	13	7	3	3	20	20	24
7	Kickers Emden	13	5	3	5	32	36	18
8	SV Atlas Delmenhorst	12	4	4	4	17	20	16
9	HSC Hannover	13	4	4	5	21	29	16
10	Vfb Lubeck	13	3	6	4	16	22	15
11	Eimsbutteler TV	13	4	2	7	21	35	14
12	Eintracht Norderstedt	12	3	4	5	24	31	13
13	Hamburg SV II	12	4	1	7	18	26	13
14	Werder Bremen II	12	3	3	6	16	20	12
15	SV Todesfelde	13	3	2	8	21	42	11
16	St Pauli II	12	3	1	8	23	25	10
17	SSV Jeddeloh	13	3	1	9	19	34	10
18	Bremer SV	12	2	2	8	9	24	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vfb Lubeck	St Pauli II
SSV Jeddeloh	2-1 W	0-2 L
Hannover II	2-2 D	2-3 L
HSC Hannover	1-1 D	3-4 L
Eintracht Norderstedt	1-1 D	5-0 W
SV Drochtersen-Assel	2-3 L	0-1 L
Hamburg SV II	1-3 L	3-0 W
Phonix Lubeck	0-4 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vfb Lubeck

DLLLDDDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	SSV Jeddeloh Germany Regionalliga North	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
02/10	Eimsbutteler TV Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
19/09	Bremer SV Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
16/09	Hannover II Germany Regionalliga North	0-2	2-2	–	–	D
12/09	HSC Hannover Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
06/09	Eintracht Norderstedt Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	SV Drochtersen-Assel Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
26/08	Hamburg SV II Germany Regionalliga North	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	Phonix Lubeck Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
11/08	VfB Oldenburg Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	1-1	–	–	D

St Pauli II

LWLDLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	HSC Hannover Germany Regionalliga North	1-1	3-4	–	–	L
26/09	Kickers Emden Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
19/09	SV Drochtersen-Assel Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
16/09	Hamburg SV II Germany Regionalliga North	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
13/09	Eintracht Norderstedt Germany Regionalliga North	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
04/09	Hannover II Germany Regionalliga North	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
30/08	Phonix Lubeck Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
26/08	FSV Schoningen Germany Regionalliga North	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
16/08	Werder Bremen II Germany Regionalliga North	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
12/08	SSV Jeddeloh Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vfb Lubeck vs St Pauli II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vfb Lubeck win (48%). Probabilities: Vfb Lubeck 48%, draw 26%, St Pauli II 27%.

How many goals are expected in Vfb Lubeck vs St Pauli II?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Vfb Lubeck 1.76 · St Pauli II 1.27), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vfb Lubeck vs St Pauli II?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.