Prediction: Palmeiras (W) vs Paraguay (W)
Expected goals: 2.97 (Palmeiras (W) 2.06 · Paraguay (W) 0.91). The model gives 63% home, 21% draw, 15% away. Over 2.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Palmeiras (W) sits at 5-3-2 (W-D-L), while Paraguay (W) arrives on a 3-1-6 run.
| Palmeiras (W) | Draw | Paraguay (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 22% | 15% |
| Market | 64% | 21% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Palmeiras (W) (rating 1536 vs 1473).
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Palmeiras (W) | Paraguay (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.2 | 2.7 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.4 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Palmeiras (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Corinthians (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Bragantino (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 21/05 | Ferroviaria (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 19/05 | Botafogo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Santos (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 12/05 | Atletico Mineiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Mirassol (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
5-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Bahia (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 28/04 | Santos (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 21/04 | Fluminense RJ (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
Paraguay (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06 | Colombia (W) CONMEBOL Nations League Women |
3-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Bolivia (W) CONMEBOL Nations League Women |
3-0 | 8-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 14/04 | Peru (W) CONMEBOL Nations League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Ecuador (W) CONMEBOL Nations League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 07/03 | Chile (W) Women’s International |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/03 | Chile (W) Women’s International |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 24/01 | USA (W) Women’s International |
0-1 | 0-6 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 03/12 | Chile (W) CONMEBOL Nations League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/11 | Uruguay (W) CONMEBOL Nations League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/10 | Venezuela (W) CONMEBOL Nations League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Palmeiras (W) vs Paraguay (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Palmeiras (W) win (63%). Probabilities: Palmeiras (W) 63%, draw 21%, Paraguay (W) 15%.
How many goals are expected in Palmeiras (W) vs Paraguay (W)?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Palmeiras (W) 2.06 · Paraguay (W) 0.91), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Palmeiras (W) vs Paraguay (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.