Prediction: Flamengo (W) vs Penarol (W)
Expected goals: 2.94 (Flamengo (W) 2.02 · Penarol (W) 0.92). The model gives 62% home, 23% draw, 16% away. Under 3 goals (53%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Flamengo (W) is 5-3-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Penarol (W) 9-0-1 over its own.
| Flamengo (W) | Draw | Penarol (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 23% | 15% |
| Market | 62% | 22% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Penarol (W) (rating 1542 vs 1608).
- High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Flamengo (W) | Penarol (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 3 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/67/0% | 33/67/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.7 | 3 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Flamengo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05 | Sao Joao PI (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Internacional (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Fluminense RJ (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 6 | W |
| 12/05 | Ferroviaria (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 05/05 | Sao Paulo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | EC Vitoria (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 21/04 | Bahia (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 31/03 | Palmeiras (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 27/03 | EC Juventude (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | Cruzeiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
Penarol (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | FC San Jacinto (W) Uruguay League Women |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Canadian SC (W) Uruguay League Women |
– | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Juventud de Las Piedras (W) Uruguay League Women |
– | 7-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Montevideo City Torque (W) Uruguay League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Montevideo Wanderers (W) Uruguay League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Danubio (W) Uruguay League Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Liverpool Montevideo (W) Uruguay League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Defensor Sporting (W) Uruguay League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Nacional De Football (W) Uruguay League Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 22/11 | Defensor Sporting (W) Uruguay League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Flamengo (W) vs Penarol (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Flamengo (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Flamengo (W) 62%, draw 23%, Penarol (W) 16%.
How many goals are expected in Flamengo (W) vs Penarol (W)?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Flamengo (W) 2.02 · Penarol (W) 0.92), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Flamengo (W) vs Penarol (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.