Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 08/08, 16:30

Prediction: SFK Holesov vs Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

SFK Holesov1.84

Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B1.44

1X2

47% 24% 30%

SFK Holesov Draw Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SFK Holesov 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDDDWWLWLL

Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWDLWLLLLL

Head-to-head

SFK Holesov 1–1–0 Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B (2 last)

SFK Holesov4-0Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B1-1SFK Holesov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SFK Holesov 1496 · Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B 1418

	SFK Holesov	Draw	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B
Our model	46%	25%	29%
Market	47%	23%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SFK Holesov (rating 1496 vs 1418).
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SFK Holesov	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	0.7 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	6 / 8.5	1 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.90

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
09:25 +4’	1.91	3.90	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SFK Holesov 1–1–0 Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	SFK Holesov	4-0 HT 2-0	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B
17/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B	1-1 HT 1-0	SFK Holesov

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	1	1	0	2	0	3
2	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	FC Vratimov	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	SSK Bilovec	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Frydek Mistek B	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	TJ Novy Jicin	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	FK Sumperk	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Kravare	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Opava B	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Pusta Polom	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Jiskra Rymarov	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	SK Stonava	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	SK Zabreh	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bridlicna	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	TJ Valasske Mezirici	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Hlucin	1	0	1	0	2	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SFK Holesov	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B
FC Strani	1-3 L	0-2 L
SK Batov	3-0 W	1-0 W
Bzenec	0-2 L	0-2 L
FK Nove Sady	4-0 W	1-1 D
TJ Skastice	3-2 W	1-0 W
CSK Uhersky Brod	1-1 D	0-3 L
FK Kozlovice	1-1 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: SFK Holesov (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SFK Holesov

LDDDWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Slavicin Czechia Cup	–	1-3	–	–	L
12/06	FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
06/06	SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	14	4	W
30/05	Bzenec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
23/05	FK Nove Sady Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	8	4	W
17/05	TJ Skastice Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	3-2	6	1	W
09/05	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
01/05	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
25/04	FK Kozlovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
18/04	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L

Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B

LWDLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/06	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-3	0	5	L
31/05	FK Kozlovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
24/05	Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-5	2	2	L
17/05	FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	2	4	L
10/05	FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	1	2	L
30/04	SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
26/04	Bzenec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	7	0	L
18/04	FK Nove Sady Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
12/04	TJ Skastice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
03/04	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SFK Holesov vs Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SFK Holesov win (47%). Probabilities: SFK Holesov 47%, draw 24%, Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B 30%.

How many goals are expected in SFK Holesov vs Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B?

The model expects 3.28 goals (SFK Holesov 1.84 · Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B 1.44), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SFK Holesov vs Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.