Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 09/08, 10:15

Prediction: MFK Karvina B vs CSK Uhersky Brod

Team pages: MFK Karvina B · CSK Uhersky Brod

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

MFK Karvina B1.66

CSK Uhersky Brod1.64

1X2

39% 24% 38%

MFK Karvina B Draw CSK Uhersky Brod

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Karvina B 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDDLDWWL

CSK Uhersky Brod 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

WDDWWWDDDW

Head-to-head

MFK Karvina B 2–1–1 CSK Uhersky Brod (4 last)

MFK Karvina B4-2CSK Uhersky Brod
CSK Uhersky Brod2-0MFK Karvina B
CSK Uhersky Brod1-1MFK Karvina B
MFK Karvina B3-0CSK Uhersky Brod

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Karvina B 1466 · CSK Uhersky Brod 1574

	MFK Karvina B	Draw	CSK Uhersky Brod
Our model	38%	25%	37%
Market	39%	23%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSK Uhersky Brod (rating 1466 vs 1574).
H2H favours MFK Karvina B: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Karvina B	CSK Uhersky Brod
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.9	2.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.7	2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X4.00

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.30▲	Bet365 2.30
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.60 → 2.35▼	Pinn 2.61 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:06 +6’	2.10	4.00	2.60
13:54 +1’	2.30▲	4.00	2.35▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:53 +2’	2.25	3.60	2.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Karvina B 2–1–1 CSK Uhersky Brod

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/04/25 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Karvina B	4-2 HT 2-1	CSK Uhersky Brod
16/11/24 Czechia 3. Liga	CSK Uhersky Brod	2-0 HT 2-0	MFK Karvina B
22/05/24 Czechia 3. Liga	CSK Uhersky Brod	1-1 HT 0-0	MFK Karvina B
13/09/23 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Karvina B	3-0 HT 2-0	CSK Uhersky Brod

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
2	SK Unicov	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
3	TJ Unie Hlubina	1	1	0	0	8	2	3
4	Sigma Olomouc B	1	1	0	0	5	0	3
5	CSK Uhersky Brod	1	1	0	0	4	1	3
6	Slovacko II	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
7	FC Trinity Zlin B	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
7	Frydek Mistek	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
9	FK Blansko	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
10	SFK Vrchovina	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
11	MFK Karvina B	1	0	0	1	2	3	0
12	MFK Havirov	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
12	Polanka	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
14	FK Hodonin	1	0	0	1	1	3	0
15	SK Hranice	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
16	MFK Vitkovice	1	0	0	1	1	4	0
17	FC Vsetin	1	0	0	1	0	5	0
18	FC Brno II	1	0	0	1	2	8	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

MFK Karvina B

LLLDDLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-3	5	3	L
13/06	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
06/06	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	7	2	W
29/05	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
24/05	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	3	2	L
20/05	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
17/05	Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	6	9	D
10/05	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
03/05	TJ Start Brno Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-5	4	5	L
29/04	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-3	10	4	L

CSK Uhersky Brod

WDDWWWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-1	4	11	W
25/07	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia Cup	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
12/06	Bzenec Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
05/06	FK Nove Sady Czechia 4. Liga	2-3	4-4	4	5	D
29/05	TJ Skastice Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	4-1	5	4	W
23/05	FK Kozlovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/05	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	2	6	W
09/05	SFK Holesov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
01/05	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	4	7	D
26/04	Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-1	2	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Karvina B vs CSK Uhersky Brod?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Karvina B win (39%). Probabilities: MFK Karvina B 39%, draw 24%, CSK Uhersky Brod 38%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Karvina B vs CSK Uhersky Brod?

The model expects 3.3 goals (MFK Karvina B 1.66 · CSK Uhersky Brod 1.64), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Karvina B vs CSK Uhersky Brod?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.