Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 08/08, 10:30

Prediction: Sparta Brno vs FS Trebic

Team pages: Sparta Brno · FS Trebic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.04Total

Sparta Brno2.47

FS Trebic1.57

1X2

56% 21% 23%

Sparta Brno Draw FS Trebic

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sparta Brno 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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FS Trebic 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sparta Brno 1–1–0 FS Trebic (2 last)

FS Trebic3-3Sparta Brno
Sparta Brno5-1FS Trebic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sparta Brno 1504 · FS Trebic 1472

	Sparta Brno	Draw	FS Trebic
Our model	57%	20%	23%
Market	56%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 4.04 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sparta Brno	FS Trebic
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 2.3	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 4.3	2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	3.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.60

X4.10

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
06:43 +2’	1.60	4.10	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sparta Brno 1–1–0 FS Trebic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FS Trebic	3-3 HT 1-3	Sparta Brno
06/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Sparta Brno	5-1 HT 2-1	FS Trebic

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hlucin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Vratimov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SSK Bilovec	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Bohumin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Frydek Mistek B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TJ Novy Jicin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Sumperk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kravare	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Opava B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pusta Polom	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jiskra Rymarov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Stonava	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Zabreh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bridlicna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TJ Valasske Mezirici	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sparta Brno	FS Trebic
Velke Mezirici	1-2 L	3-1 W
Havlickuv Brod	8-2 W	2-2 D
Sokol Tasovice	2-5 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FS Trebic (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sparta Brno

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	SFK Vrchovina Czechia Cup	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
22/07	Slovan Rosice Club Friendly List	2-0	9-0	11	2	W
13/06	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
06/06	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-3	6	4	L
31/05	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-5	–	–	L
23/05	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
20/05	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	4	3	L
08/05	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
02/05	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	5-1	8-2	0	2	W
26/04	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-5	1	6	L

FS Trebic

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Sokol Tasovice Czechia Cup	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
13/06	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	7	1	W
07/06	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
30/05	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
24/05	TJ Dalnice Sperice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
17/05	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	2-5	5	0	L
08/05	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
03/05	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
26/04	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
19/04	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sparta Brno vs FS Trebic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sparta Brno win (56%). Probabilities: Sparta Brno 56%, draw 21%, FS Trebic 23%.

How many goals are expected in Sparta Brno vs FS Trebic?

The model expects 4.04 goals (Sparta Brno 2.47 · FS Trebic 1.57), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sparta Brno vs FS Trebic?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.