Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 09/08, 16:30

Prediction: FC Spartak Velka Bites vs TJ Tatran Bohunice

Team pages: FC Spartak Velka Bites · TJ Tatran Bohunice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

FC Spartak Velka Bites1.52

TJ Tatran Bohunice1.25

1X2

44% 25% 31%

FC Spartak Velka Bites Draw TJ Tatran Bohunice

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Spartak Velka Bites 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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TJ Tatran Bohunice 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Spartak Velka Bites 1–1–3 TJ Tatran Bohunice (5 last)

FC Spartak Velka Bites0-1TJ Tatran Bohunice
TJ Tatran Bohunice1-1FC Spartak Velka Bites
TJ Tatran Bohunice3-1FC Spartak Velka Bites
FC Spartak Velka Bites2-1TJ Tatran Bohunice
TJ Tatran Bohunice5-1FC Spartak Velka Bites

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Spartak Velka Bites 1503 · TJ Tatran Bohunice 1563

	FC Spartak Velka Bites	Draw	TJ Tatran Bohunice
Our model	42%	28%	30%
Market	45%	22%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TJ Tatran Bohunice (rating 1503 vs 1563).
H2H favours TJ Tatran Bohunice: 3-1-1.
High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Spartak Velka Bites	TJ Tatran Bohunice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.5	1.6 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	2.5 / 8.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.00

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	4.00 → 3.90▼	Bet365 3.90
2	2.75 → 2.88▲	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:57 +27’	2.00	4.00	2.75
06:51 +6’	2.00	3.90▼	2.88▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 2 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Spartak Velka Bites 1–1–3 TJ Tatran Bohunice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Spartak Velka Bites	0-1 HT 0-1	TJ Tatran Bohunice
02/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Tatran Bohunice	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Spartak Velka Bites
12/04/25 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Tatran Bohunice	3-1 HT 1-0	FC Spartak Velka Bites
06/09/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Spartak Velka Bites	2-1 HT 2-0	TJ Tatran Bohunice
22/04/23 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Tatran Bohunice	5-1 HT 3-0	FC Spartak Velka Bites

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	1	1	0	2	0	3
2	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	FC Vratimov	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	SSK Bilovec	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Frydek Mistek B	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	TJ Novy Jicin	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	FK Sumperk	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Kravare	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Opava B	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Pusta Polom	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Jiskra Rymarov	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	SK Stonava	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	SK Zabreh	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bridlicna	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	TJ Valasske Mezirici	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Hlucin	1	0	1	0	2	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Spartak Velka Bites	TJ Tatran Bohunice
AFC Humpolec	2-3 L	4-0 W
SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	2-0 W	0-2 L
FK Pelhrimov	4-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Spartak Velka Bites (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Spartak Velka Bites

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Hlinsko Club Friendly List	1-2	2-3	4	1	L
25/07	FK Blansko Czechia Cup	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
13/06	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
07/06	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
31/05	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-1	2	4	W
23/05	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	10	3	W
17/05	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
10/05	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	7	D
01/05	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
25/04	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-1	6	5	W

TJ Tatran Bohunice

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia Cup	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
12/06	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
05/06	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	11	2	L
30/05	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	13	5	W
24/05	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	8	3	W
16/05	TJ Dalnice Sperice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	12	1	W
08/05	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	9	4	W
01/05	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
25/04	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	4-0	9	1	W
19/04	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Spartak Velka Bites vs TJ Tatran Bohunice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Spartak Velka Bites win (44%). Probabilities: FC Spartak Velka Bites 44%, draw 25%, TJ Tatran Bohunice 31%.

How many goals are expected in FC Spartak Velka Bites vs TJ Tatran Bohunice?

The model expects 2.77 goals (FC Spartak Velka Bites 1.52 · TJ Tatran Bohunice 1.25), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Spartak Velka Bites vs TJ Tatran Bohunice?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.