Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 31/07, 18:00

Prediction: Frydek Mistek vs SK Hranice

Team pages: Frydek Mistek · SK Hranice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Frydek Mistek1.98

SK Hranice0.84

1X2

64% 21% 15%

Frydek Mistek Draw SK Hranice

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Frydek Mistek 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWDLDDDD

SK Hranice 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWDWDLLD

Head-to-head

Frydek Mistek 4–2 SK Hranice (6 last)

SK Hranice0-2Frydek Mistek
Frydek Mistek1-0SK Hranice
Frydek Mistek5-0SK Hranice
SK Hranice3-2Frydek Mistek
Frydek Mistek2-0SK Hranice
SK Hranice2-1Frydek Mistek

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Frydek Mistek 1544 · SK Hranice 1464

	Frydek Mistek	Draw	SK Hranice
Our model	63%	23%	14%
Market	65%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Frydek Mistek (rating 1544 vs 1464).
H2H favours Frydek Mistek: 4-0-2.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Frydek Mistek	SK Hranice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	1.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 6	3.4 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.1	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.38

X4.50

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.80

2 (+1.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 13:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	4.75 → 4.50▼	Pinn 5.18 ★
2	6.50 → 6.50	Pinn 6.95

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.6% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:02 +6’	1.33	4.75	6.50
18:26 +1’	1.38▲	4.50▼	5.75▼
13:28 +10’	1.33▼	4.50	6.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:16	1.27	5.18	6.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Frydek Mistek 4–0–2 SK Hranice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/03/26 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Hranice	0-2 HT 0-1	Frydek Mistek
16/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	1-0 HT 1-0	SK Hranice
26/05/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	5-0 HT 2-0	SK Hranice
20/10/23 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Hranice	3-2 HT 2-0	Frydek Mistek
25/03/23 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	2-0 HT 0-0	SK Hranice
27/08/22 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Hranice	2-1 HT 1-1	Frydek Mistek

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Slovacko II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSK Uhersky Brod	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Vsetin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Brno II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Trinity Zlin B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Blansko	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Frydek Mistek	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Hodonin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Havirov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Karvina B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Vitkovice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SFK Vrchovina	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Artis Brno B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Hranice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Polanka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sigma Olomouc B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Unicov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TJ Unie Hlubina	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Frydek Mistek	SK Hranice
TJ Unie Hlubina	2-2 D	1-3 L
FC Trinity Zlin B	2-2 D	3-2 W
Sigma Olomouc B	1-0 W	0-4 L
TJ Start Brno	1-0 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Frydek Mistek

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	FK Kozlovice Czechia Cup	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
12/06	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-2	5	3	D
06/06	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-2	5	1	D
29/05	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	10	7	D
23/05	Trinec Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
20/05	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
15/05	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
09/05	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
03/05	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	8	W
29/04	TJ Start Brno Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	5	W

SK Hranice

LLWWDWDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	SK Zabreh Czechia Cup	1-1	2-2	7	5	D
12/06	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
05/06	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
29/05	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
24/05	Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
20/05	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-2	4	4	D
15/05	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	3-2	7	1	W
08/05	TJ Start Brno Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-1	6	3	W
02/05	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	1-3	1-3	4	2	L
29/04	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	8	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frydek Mistek vs SK Hranice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Frydek Mistek win (64%). Probabilities: Frydek Mistek 64%, draw 21%, SK Hranice 15%.

How many goals are expected in Frydek Mistek vs SK Hranice?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Frydek Mistek 1.98 · SK Hranice 0.84), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Frydek Mistek vs SK Hranice?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.