Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 09/08, 17:00

Prediction: SK Sokol Zapy vs FK Neratovice-Byskovice

Team pages: FK Neratovice-Byskovice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.76Total

SK Sokol Zapy2.58

FK Neratovice-Byskovice1.18

1X2

67% 18% 15%

SK Sokol Zapy Draw FK Neratovice-Byskovice

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

SK Sokol Zapy 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWLDWD

FK Neratovice-Byskovice 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLDWWLWW

Head-to-head

SK Sokol Zapy 6–0 FK Neratovice-Byskovice (6 last)

SK Sokol Zapy3-1FK Neratovice-Byskovice
FK Neratovice-Byskovice0-2SK Sokol Zapy
FK Neratovice-Byskovice0-2SK Sokol Zapy
SK Sokol Zapy2-0FK Neratovice-Byskovice
FK Neratovice-Byskovice1-7SK Sokol Zapy
SK Sokol Zapy3-0FK Neratovice-Byskovice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Sokol Zapy 1561 · FK Neratovice-Byskovice 1496

	SK Sokol Zapy	Draw	FK Neratovice-Byskovice
Our model	67%	18%	15%
Market	67%	18%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Sokol Zapy (rating 1561 vs 1496).
H2H favours SK Sokol Zapy: 6-0-0.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Sokol Zapy	FK Neratovice-Byskovice
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1	1.8 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.5	2.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.88

2 (+1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:23 +5’	1.33	5.00	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Sokol Zapy 6–0–0 FK Neratovice-Byskovice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Zapy	3-1 HT 2-1	FK Neratovice-Byskovice
11/10/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Neratovice-Byskovice	0-2 HT 0-1	SK Sokol Zapy
10/02/24 Club Friendly List	FK Neratovice-Byskovice	0-2 HT 0-0	SK Sokol Zapy
18/07/18 Europe Friendlies	SK Sokol Zapy	2-0 HT 0-0	FK Neratovice-Byskovice
26/07/17 Europe Friendlies	FK Neratovice-Byskovice	1-7 HT 0-5	SK Sokol Zapy
01/08/15 Club Friendly List	SK Sokol Zapy	3-0 HT 1-0	FK Neratovice-Byskovice

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
2	SK Unicov	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
3	TJ Unie Hlubina	1	1	0	0	8	2	3
4	Sigma Olomouc B	1	1	0	0	5	0	3
5	CSK Uhersky Brod	1	1	0	0	4	1	3
6	Slovacko II	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
7	FC Trinity Zlin B	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
7	Frydek Mistek	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
9	FK Blansko	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
10	SFK Vrchovina	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
11	MFK Karvina B	1	0	0	1	2	3	0
12	MFK Havirov	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
12	Polanka	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
14	FK Hodonin	1	0	0	1	1	3	0
15	SK Hranice	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
16	MFK Vitkovice	1	0	0	1	1	4	0
17	FC Vsetin	1	0	0	1	0	5	0
18	FC Brno II	1	0	0	1	2	8	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Sokol Zapy	FK Neratovice-Byskovice
Motorlet Praha	1-1 D	1-0 W
Slovan Liberec B	5-0 W	2-9 L
Benatky Nad Jizerou	2-4 L	1-4 L
SK Sokol Brozany	0-1 L	1-1 D
SK Sparta Kolin	2-1 W	2-1 W
Pardubice B	4-0 W	0-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SK Sokol Zapy (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SK Sokol Zapy

WWLWWWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Motorlet Praha Club Friendly List	1-0	1-1	0	0	D
06/06	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	7	1	W
30/05	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	9	6	D
24/05	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-4	6	1	L
21/05	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	5	5	W
10/05	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	7	3	W
06/05	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-0	12	0	W
03/05	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
26/04	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	12	4	W
19/04	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-0	3	6	W

FK Neratovice-Byskovice

WLLLDWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	SK Kosmonosy Czechia Cup	1-1	4-1	3	9	W
26/07	Motorlet Praha Club Friendly List	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
06/06	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-4	4	3	L
28/05	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	4	6	W
24/05	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
16/05	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
10/05	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	4	3	L
06/05	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-9	3	0	L
01/05	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	5	3	L
25/04	Usti N Orlici Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-2	8	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Sokol Zapy vs FK Neratovice-Byskovice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Sokol Zapy win (67%). Probabilities: SK Sokol Zapy 67%, draw 18%, FK Neratovice-Byskovice 15%.

How many goals are expected in SK Sokol Zapy vs FK Neratovice-Byskovice?

The model expects 3.76 goals (SK Sokol Zapy 2.58 · FK Neratovice-Byskovice 1.18), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Sokol Zapy vs FK Neratovice-Byskovice?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.