Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 15/08, 16:30

Prediction: CSK Uhersky Brod vs SK Hranice

Team pages: CSK Uhersky Brod · SK Hranice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

CSK Uhersky Brod1.96

SK Hranice1.32

1X2

52% 23% 25%

CSK Uhersky Brod Draw SK Hranice

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

CSK Uhersky Brod 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWDDDWLW

SK Hranice 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WWDWDLLDLL

Head-to-head

CSK Uhersky Brod 1–3 SK Hranice (4 last)

CSK Uhersky Brod6-0SK Hranice
SK Hranice3-0CSK Uhersky Brod
CSK Uhersky Brod1-2SK Hranice
SK Hranice2-1CSK Uhersky Brod

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSK Uhersky Brod 1553 · SK Hranice 1485

	CSK Uhersky Brod	Draw	SK Hranice
Our model	51%	24%	25%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSK Uhersky Brod (rating 1553 vs 1485).
H2H favours SK Hranice: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSK Uhersky Brod	SK Hranice
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.4	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.3	3.3 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.70▼	Bet365 1.70
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.60▲	Pinn 3.82 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:53 +4’	1.73	4.00	3.50
20:44 +8’	1.70▼	4.00	3.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:15 +38’	1.70	3.91	3.82

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSK Uhersky Brod 1–0–3 SK Hranice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/04/24 Czechia 3. Liga	CSK Uhersky Brod	6-0 HT 4-0	SK Hranice
22/09/23 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Hranice	3-0 HT 1-0	CSK Uhersky Brod
07/04/23 Czechia 3. Liga	CSK Uhersky Brod	1-2 HT 0-0	SK Hranice
10/09/22 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Hranice	2-1 HT 1-1	CSK Uhersky Brod

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TJ Unie Hlubina	2	2	0	0	12	4	6
2	Sigma Olomouc B	2	2	0	0	7	1	6
3	SK Artis Brno B	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
4	SK Unicov	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
5	FC Trinity Zlin B	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
6	Frydek Mistek	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	Slovacko II	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
7	CSK Uhersky Brod	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
7	MFK Karvina B	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
10	FK Blansko	2	0	2	0	5	5	2
11	MFK Havirov	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
12	FK Hodonin	2	0	1	1	4	6	1
13	MFK Vitkovice	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
13	SFK Vrchovina	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
15	FC Brno II	2	0	1	1	4	10	1
16	Polanka	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
17	SK Hranice	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
18	FC Vsetin	2	0	0	2	2	9	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

CSK Uhersky Brod

DWWWDDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Sokol Tasovice Czechia Cup	3-1	3-2	5	3	W
09/08	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	6	7	L
01/08	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-1	4	11	W
25/07	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia Cup	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
12/06	Bzenec Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
05/06	FK Nove Sady Czechia 4. Liga	2-3	4-4	4	5	D
29/05	TJ Skastice Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	4-1	5	4	W
23/05	FK Kozlovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/05	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	2	6	W
09/05	SFK Holesov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

SK Hranice

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
31/07	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	5	8	L
26/07	SK Zabreh Czechia Cup	1-1	2-2	7	5	D
12/06	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
05/06	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
29/05	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
24/05	Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
20/05	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-2	4	4	D
15/05	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	3-2	7	1	W
08/05	TJ Start Brno Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-1	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSK Uhersky Brod vs SK Hranice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSK Uhersky Brod win (52%). Probabilities: CSK Uhersky Brod 52%, draw 23%, SK Hranice 25%.

How many goals are expected in CSK Uhersky Brod vs SK Hranice?

The model expects 3.28 goals (CSK Uhersky Brod 1.96 · SK Hranice 1.32), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CSK Uhersky Brod vs SK Hranice?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.