Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 23/08, 10:15
Prediction: MFK Karvina B vs Polanka
Team pages: MFK Karvina B · Polanka
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
MFK Karvina B1.72
Polanka1.19
1X2
MFK Karvina B
Draw
Polanka
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
MFK Karvina B
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Polanka
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
MFK Karvina B
3–2–1
Polanka
(6 last)
- Polanka0-0MFK Karvina B
- MFK Karvina B1-2Polanka
- MFK Karvina B2-2Polanka
- Polanka2-3MFK Karvina B
- MFK Karvina B1-0Polanka
- MFK Karvina B3-1Polanka
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · MFK Karvina B 1500 · Polanka 1459
| MFK Karvina B | Draw | Polanka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 26% | 25% |
| Market | 51% | 21% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MFK Karvina B (rating 1500 vs 1459).
- H2H favours MFK Karvina B: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MFK Karvina B | Polanka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.2 | 1.8 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Karvina B 3–2–1 Polanka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga | Polanka | 0-0 HT 0-0 | MFK Karvina B |
| 10/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga | MFK Karvina B | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Polanka |
| 14/08/22 Czechia 4. Liga | MFK Karvina B | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Polanka |
| 17/10/21 Czechia 4. Liga | Polanka | 2-3 HT 1-3 | MFK Karvina B |
| 11/10/20 Czechia 4. Liga | MFK Karvina B | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Polanka |
| 18/08/19 Czechia 4. Liga | MFK Karvina B | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Polanka |
Standings · Czechia 3. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sigma Olomouc B | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | SK Artis Brno B | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | Frydek Mistek | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | TJ Unie Hlubina | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 6 |
| 5 | Slovacko II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | CSK Uhersky Brod | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | SK Unicov | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | FC Trinity Zlin B | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | MFK Karvina B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | SFK Vrchovina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Brno II | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 12 | SK Hranice | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | FK Blansko | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 2 |
| 14 | MFK Vitkovice | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| 15 | MFK Havirov | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 16 | Polanka | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | FK Hodonin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 18 | FC Vsetin | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MFK Karvina B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga |
2-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/05 | Polanka Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 10/05 | FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Polanka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 09/08 | FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/06 | FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | TJ Start Brno Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 03/06 | FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga |
2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Trinec Czechia 3. Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MFK Karvina B vs Polanka?
According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Karvina B win (50%). Probabilities: MFK Karvina B 50%, draw 23%, Polanka 27%.
How many goals are expected in MFK Karvina B vs Polanka?
The model expects 2.91 goals (MFK Karvina B 1.72 · Polanka 1.19), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in MFK Karvina B vs Polanka?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.