Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 16/08, 10:15
Prediction: MFK Havirov vs MFK Karvina B
Team pages: MFK Havirov · MFK Karvina B
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.92Total
MFK Havirov1.46
MFK Karvina B1.45
1X2
MFK Havirov
Draw
MFK Karvina B
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
MFK Havirov
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
MFK Karvina B
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
MFK Havirov
2–1–2
MFK Karvina B
(5 last)
- MFK Havirov1-0MFK Karvina B
- MFK Havirov0-3MFK Karvina B
- MFK Karvina B1-1MFK Havirov
- MFK Havirov1-0MFK Karvina B
- MFK Karvina B3-1MFK Havirov
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · MFK Havirov 1509 · MFK Karvina B 1494
| MFK Havirov | Draw | MFK Karvina B | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | 38% | 25% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.92 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MFK Havirov | MFK Karvina B | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.3 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Havirov 2–1–2 MFK Karvina B
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/24 Club Friendly List | MFK Havirov | 1-0 HT 0-0 | MFK Karvina B |
| 23/04/23 Czechia 4. Liga | MFK Havirov | 0-3 HT 0-1 | MFK Karvina B |
| 11/09/22 Czechia 4. Liga | MFK Karvina B | 1-1 HT 0-0 | MFK Havirov |
| 17/04/22 Czechia 4. Liga | MFK Havirov | 1-0 | MFK Karvina B |
| 29/08/21 Czechia 4. Liga | MFK Karvina B | 3-1 HT 2-1 | MFK Havirov |
Standings · Czechia 3. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TJ Unie Hlubina | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Sigma Olomouc B | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | SK Artis Brno B | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | SK Unicov | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | FC Trinity Zlin B | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Frydek Mistek | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Slovacko II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | CSK Uhersky Brod | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | MFK Karvina B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | FK Blansko | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
| 11 | MFK Havirov | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | FK Hodonin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 13 | MFK Vitkovice | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 13 | SFK Vrchovina | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 15 | FC Brno II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
| 16 | Polanka | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | SK Hranice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | FC Vsetin | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MFK Havirov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | TJ Sokol Belotin Czechia Cup |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | FC Vratimov Czechia Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 12/06 | SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga |
2-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
MFK Karvina B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga |
2-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/05 | Polanka Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 10/05 | FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | TJ Start Brno Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 0-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MFK Havirov vs MFK Karvina B?
According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Havirov win (37%). Probabilities: MFK Havirov 37%, draw 26%, MFK Karvina B 37%.
How many goals are expected in MFK Havirov vs MFK Karvina B?
The model expects 2.92 goals (MFK Havirov 1.46 · MFK Karvina B 1.45), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in MFK Havirov vs MFK Karvina B?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.