Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 16/08, 10:15

Prediction: SK Unicov vs FC Brno II

Team pages: SK Unicov · FC Brno II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

SK Unicov1.99

FC Brno II1.2

1X2

55% 23% 22%

SK Unicov Draw FC Brno II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SK Unicov 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWDWWW

FC Brno II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLLWLD

Head-to-head

SK Unicov 4–2–0 FC Brno II (6 last)

FC Brno II0-1SK Unicov
SK Unicov0-0FC Brno II
FC Brno II1-1SK Unicov
SK Unicov7-3FC Brno II
FC Brno II0-2SK Unicov
SK Unicov3-1FC Brno II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Unicov 1582 · FC Brno II 1485

	SK Unicov	Draw	FC Brno II
Our model	55%	24%	22%
Market	55%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Unicov (rating 1582 vs 1485).
H2H favours SK Unicov: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Unicov	FC Brno II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.3	1.9 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.9	0.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 5.1	3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.75▲	Pinn 1.78
X	4.00 → 3.90▼	Bet365 3.90
2	4.00 → 3.50▼	Pinn 3.67 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:18 +9’	1.61	4.00	4.00
18:21 +2’	1.75▲	3.90▼	3.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:08 +16’	1.78	3.67	3.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Unicov 4–2–0 FC Brno II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Brno II	0-1 HT 0-1	SK Unicov
17/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Unicov	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Brno II
22/03/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Brno II	1-1 HT 1-0	SK Unicov
18/08/24 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Unicov	7-3 HT 3-1	FC Brno II
03/02/24 Club Friendly List	FC Brno II	0-2 HT 0-1	SK Unicov
25/07/23 Europe Friendlies	SK Unicov	3-1 HT 2-1	FC Brno II

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TJ Unie Hlubina	2	2	0	0	12	4	6
2	Sigma Olomouc B	2	2	0	0	7	1	6
3	SK Artis Brno B	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
4	SK Unicov	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
5	FC Trinity Zlin B	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
6	Frydek Mistek	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	Slovacko II	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
7	CSK Uhersky Brod	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
7	MFK Karvina B	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
10	FK Blansko	2	0	2	0	5	5	2
11	MFK Havirov	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
12	FK Hodonin	2	0	1	1	4	6	1
13	MFK Vitkovice	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
13	SFK Vrchovina	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
15	FC Brno II	2	0	1	1	4	10	1
16	Polanka	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
17	SK Hranice	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
18	FC Vsetin	2	0	0	2	2	9	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Unicov	FC Brno II
SK Hranice	1-0 W	3-1 W
MFK Karvina B	3-2 W	0-2 L
TJ Unie Hlubina	2-1 W	2-8 L
Slovacko II	3-1 W	2-1 W
Hlucin	2-1 W	1-6 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SK Unicov (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SK Unicov

WDWLWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia Cup	1-0	2-1	9	2	W
07/08	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	9	2	W
02/08	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	3-2	5	3	W
18/07	Usti N Orlici Club Friendly List	1-1	1-1	2	0	D
06/06	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	7	3	W
31/05	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-1	3	3	W
23/05	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-3	3	3	L
20/05	Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
17/05	Trinec Czechia 3. Liga	3-3	3-3	3	4	D
08/05	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	5	3	W

FC Brno II

WWWWLLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-2	4	3	D
31/07	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	2-6	2-8	6	4	L
12/06	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	4	3	W
06/06	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
31/05	Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-6	6	3	L
24/05	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
20/05	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	3-1	4	2	W
17/05	TJ Start Brno Czechia 3. Liga	3-2	3-2	11	4	W
08/05	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
03/05	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Unicov vs FC Brno II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Unicov win (55%). Probabilities: SK Unicov 55%, draw 23%, FC Brno II 22%.

How many goals are expected in SK Unicov vs FC Brno II?

The model expects 3.18 goals (SK Unicov 1.99 · FC Brno II 1.2), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Unicov vs FC Brno II?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.