Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 09/08, 16:30

Prediction: FK Kozlovice vs Bzenec

Team pages: FK Kozlovice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.54Total

FK Kozlovice2.21

Bzenec1.33

1X2

56% 22% 22%

FK Kozlovice Draw Bzenec

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Kozlovice 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Bzenec 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FK Kozlovice 4–1–1 Bzenec (6 last)

FK Kozlovice3-2Bzenec
Bzenec2-2FK Kozlovice
Bzenec2-1FK Kozlovice
FK Kozlovice6-1Bzenec
FK Kozlovice3-2Bzenec
Bzenec0-2FK Kozlovice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Kozlovice 1546 · Bzenec 1506

	FK Kozlovice	Draw	Bzenec
Our model	56%	22%	22%
Market	56%	22%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.54 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Kozlovice (rating 1546 vs 1506).
H2H favours FK Kozlovice: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Kozlovice	Bzenec
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.8	2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	1.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	56/22/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	0 / 4.3	2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.60

X4.00

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:21 +3’	1.60	4.00	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Kozlovice 4–1–1 Bzenec

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Kozlovice	3-2 HT 1-1	Bzenec
15/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Bzenec	2-2 HT 1-1	FK Kozlovice
31/05/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Bzenec	2-1 HT 1-1	FK Kozlovice
27/10/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Kozlovice	6-1 HT 2-1	Bzenec
12/05/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Kozlovice	3-2 HT 0-2	Bzenec
07/10/23 Czechia 4. Liga	Bzenec	0-2 HT 0-1	FK Kozlovice

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	1	1	0	2	0	3
2	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	FC Vratimov	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	SSK Bilovec	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Frydek Mistek B	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	TJ Novy Jicin	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	FK Sumperk	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Kravare	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Opava B	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Pusta Polom	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Jiskra Rymarov	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	SK Stonava	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	SK Zabreh	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bridlicna	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	TJ Valasske Mezirici	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Hlucin	1	0	1	0	2	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Kozlovice	Bzenec
Breclav	1-0 W	1-0 W
Sternberk	3-1 W	3-1 W
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B	3-0 W	2-0 W
CSK Uhersky Brod	0-1 L	1-1 D
Slavicin	0-0 D	0-1 L
SFK Holesov	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Kozlovice

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Frydek Mistek Czechia Cup	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
18/07	FK Blansko Club Friendly List	1-1	1-3	3	0	L
10/06	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
07/06	TJ Skastice Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	5-1	6	4	W
03/06	Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	5	5	W
31/05	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
23/05	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
08/05	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
03/05	FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	5-1	5	5	W
25/04	SFK Holesov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D

Bzenec

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Breclav Czechia Cup	–	1-0	–	–	W
18/07	SC Znojmo Club Friendly List	0-1	1-1	4	0	D
12/06	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
07/06	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
30/05	SFK Holesov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
24/05	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-4	5	2	L
16/05	Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	3-4	6	3	L
02/05	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	4-1	7-2	–	–	W
26/04	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	4	0	W
18/04	Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Kozlovice vs Bzenec?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Kozlovice win (56%). Probabilities: FK Kozlovice 56%, draw 22%, Bzenec 22%.

How many goals are expected in FK Kozlovice vs Bzenec?

The model expects 3.54 goals (FK Kozlovice 2.21 · Bzenec 1.33), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Kozlovice vs Bzenec?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.