Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 15/08, 16:30

Prediction: SFK Vrchovina vs FC Trinity Zlin B

Team pages: SFK Vrchovina · FC Trinity Zlin B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

SFK Vrchovina1.75

FC Trinity Zlin B1.43

1X2

45% 25% 31%

SFK Vrchovina Draw FC Trinity Zlin B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SFK Vrchovina 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLLLDL

FC Trinity Zlin B 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWDLWLWW

Head-to-head

SFK Vrchovina 3–1–2 FC Trinity Zlin B (6 last)

SFK Vrchovina3-2FC Trinity Zlin B
FC Trinity Zlin B1-3SFK Vrchovina
FC Trinity Zlin B3-1SFK Vrchovina
SFK Vrchovina2-1FC Trinity Zlin B
SFK Vrchovina0-0FC Trinity Zlin B
FC Trinity Zlin B2-0SFK Vrchovina

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SFK Vrchovina 1486 · FC Trinity Zlin B 1521

	SFK Vrchovina	Draw	FC Trinity Zlin B
Our model	44%	25%	30%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SFK Vrchovina: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SFK Vrchovina	FC Trinity Zlin B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.2	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3	2.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.75

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.45▲	Pinn 2.60 ★
X	3.75 → 3.60▼	Bet365 3.60
2	2.90 → 2.35▼	Pinn 2.42

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:43 +14’	2.00	3.75	2.90
20:47 +6’	2.45▲	3.60▼	2.35▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:15 +37’	2.60	3.26	2.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SFK Vrchovina 3–1–2 FC Trinity Zlin B

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Czechia 3. Liga	SFK Vrchovina	3-2 HT 2-1	FC Trinity Zlin B
01/11/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Trinity Zlin B	1-3 HT 1-1	SFK Vrchovina
17/06/23 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Trinity Zlin B	3-1 HT 0-1	SFK Vrchovina
19/11/22 Czechia 3. Liga	SFK Vrchovina	2-1 HT 0-0	FC Trinity Zlin B
05/03/22 Czechia 3. Liga	SFK Vrchovina	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Trinity Zlin B
01/08/21 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Trinity Zlin B	2-0 HT 1-0	SFK Vrchovina

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TJ Unie Hlubina	2	2	0	0	12	4	6
2	Sigma Olomouc B	2	2	0	0	7	1	6
3	SK Artis Brno B	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
4	SK Unicov	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
5	FC Trinity Zlin B	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
6	Frydek Mistek	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	Slovacko II	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
7	CSK Uhersky Brod	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
7	MFK Karvina B	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
10	FK Blansko	2	0	2	0	5	5	2
11	MFK Havirov	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
12	FK Hodonin	2	0	1	1	4	6	1
13	MFK Vitkovice	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
13	SFK Vrchovina	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
15	FC Brno II	2	0	1	1	4	10	1
16	Polanka	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
17	SK Hranice	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
18	FC Vsetin	2	0	0	2	2	9	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SFK Vrchovina	FC Trinity Zlin B
SK Hranice	2-2 D	2-3 L
Slovacko II	3-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SFK Vrchovina (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SFK Vrchovina

WDLWWLLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	1	1	L
01/08	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-2	–	–	D
25/07	Sparta Brno Czechia Cup	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
11/07	Vysocina Jihlava Club Friendly List	0-4	0-8	1	3	L
12/06	Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	9	1	L
06/06	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
30/05	TJ Start Brno Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	6-0	–	–	W
23/05	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	2	8	L
20/05	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-2	3	4	D
16/05	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W

FC Trinity Zlin B

WLDWDLWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	7	4	W
02/08	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
25/07	Slovacko II Club Friendly List	0-1	1-2	3	0	L
10/06	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
06/06	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
30/05	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
24/05	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
20/05	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
15/05	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-3	1	1	L
10/05	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	12	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SFK Vrchovina vs FC Trinity Zlin B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SFK Vrchovina win (45%). Probabilities: SFK Vrchovina 45%, draw 25%, FC Trinity Zlin B 31%.

How many goals are expected in SFK Vrchovina vs FC Trinity Zlin B?

The model expects 3.18 goals (SFK Vrchovina 1.75 · FC Trinity Zlin B 1.43), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SFK Vrchovina vs FC Trinity Zlin B?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.