Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 05/09, 18:00

Prediction: SK Hranice vs SFK Vrchovina

Team pages: SK Hranice · SFK Vrchovina

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

SK Hranice1.5

SFK Vrchovina1.39

1X2

39% 26% 35%

SK Hranice Draw SFK Vrchovina

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Hranice 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLLWWL

SFK Vrchovina 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLDLWWWL

Head-to-head

SK Hranice 1–2–1 SFK Vrchovina (4 last)

SFK Vrchovina2-2SK Hranice
SK Hranice2-0SFK Vrchovina
SK Hranice1-2SFK Vrchovina
SFK Vrchovina0-0SK Hranice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Hranice 1475 · SFK Vrchovina 1483

	SK Hranice	Draw	SFK Vrchovina
Our model	39%	27%	34%
Market	40%	25%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Hranice	SFK Vrchovina
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 5.7	3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.60

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.50 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:51 +24’	2.25	3.60	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:23 +2’	2.50	3.29	2.49

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Hranice 1–2–1 SFK Vrchovina

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	SFK Vrchovina	2-2 HT 0-0	SK Hranice
10/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Hranice	2-0 HT 1-0	SFK Vrchovina
10/03/23 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Hranice	1-2 HT 0-1	SFK Vrchovina
12/08/22 Czechia 3. Liga	SFK Vrchovina	0-0 HT 0-0	SK Hranice

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	6	5	1	0	11	0	16
2	Frydek Mistek	6	4	1	1	11	5	13
3	FC Brno II	6	4	1	1	16	13	13
4	TJ Unie Hlubina	6	4	0	2	21	13	12
5	Sigma Olomouc B	6	4	0	2	13	6	12
6	SK Unicov	6	4	0	2	11	8	12
7	Slovacko II	6	3	2	1	12	7	11
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
9	SFK Vrchovina	6	3	1	2	6	8	10
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	6	2	3	1	6	5	9
11	MFK Vitkovice	6	2	2	2	7	7	8
12	MFK Karvina B	6	2	1	3	8	10	7
13	SK Hranice	6	2	0	4	8	7	6
14	FK Hodonin	6	1	2	3	7	10	5
15	FK Blansko	6	0	3	3	8	17	3
16	Polanka	6	0	2	4	3	7	2
17	MFK Havirov	6	0	2	4	4	15	2
18	FC Vsetin	6	0	0	6	4	20	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Hranice	SFK Vrchovina
TJ Unie Hlubina	1-4 L	0-1 L
MFK Karvina B	0-0 D	1-0 W
Hlucin	3-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SFK Vrchovina (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Hranice

WDLLLLLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-4	5	5	L
30/08	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
21/08	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	6-0	9	3	W
15/08	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
07/08	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
31/07	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	5	8	L
12/06	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
05/06	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
29/05	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
24/05	Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	7	1	W

SFK Vrchovina

LWWLDLWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	6	1	L
29/08	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	8	2	W
22/08	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
15/08	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
07/08	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	1	1	L
01/08	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-2	–	–	D
12/06	Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	9	1	L
06/06	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
30/05	TJ Start Brno Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	6-0	–	–	W
23/05	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	2	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Hranice vs SFK Vrchovina?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Hranice win (39%). Probabilities: SK Hranice 39%, draw 26%, SFK Vrchovina 35%.

How many goals are expected in SK Hranice vs SFK Vrchovina?

The model expects 2.89 goals (SK Hranice 1.5 · SFK Vrchovina 1.39), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Hranice vs SFK Vrchovina?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.