Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 06/09, 10:15

Prediction: FC Brno II vs Polanka

Team pages: FC Brno II · Polanka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.71Total

FC Brno II2.68

Polanka1.04

1X2

72% 17% 12%

FC Brno II Draw Polanka

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Brno II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWLDWWWW

Polanka 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLDLLD

Head-to-head

FC Brno II 2–0 Polanka (2 last)

Polanka1-3FC Brno II
FC Brno II3-0Polanka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Brno II 1532 · Polanka 1432

	FC Brno II	Draw	Polanka
Our model	71%	17%	12%
Market	72%	16%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.71 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Brno II (rating 1532 vs 1432).
H2H favours FC Brno II: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Brno II	Polanka
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2.4	0.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1	0.5 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 5.5	3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.25

X5.50

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.82

2 (+1.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:38 +12’	1.25	5.50	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Brno II 2–0–0 Polanka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Polanka	1-3 HT 0-2	FC Brno II
10/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Brno II	3-0 HT 1-0	Polanka

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	6	5	1	0	11	0	16
2	Frydek Mistek	6	4	1	1	11	5	13
3	FC Brno II	6	4	1	1	16	13	13
4	TJ Unie Hlubina	6	4	0	2	21	13	12
5	Sigma Olomouc B	6	4	0	2	13	6	12
6	SK Unicov	6	4	0	2	11	8	12
7	Slovacko II	6	3	2	1	12	7	11
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
9	SFK Vrchovina	6	3	1	2	6	8	10
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	6	2	3	1	6	5	9
11	MFK Vitkovice	6	2	2	2	7	7	8
12	MFK Karvina B	6	2	1	3	8	10	7
13	SK Hranice	6	2	0	4	8	7	6
14	FK Hodonin	6	1	2	3	7	10	5
15	FK Blansko	6	0	3	3	8	17	3
16	Polanka	6	0	2	4	3	7	2
17	MFK Havirov	6	0	2	4	4	15	2
18	FC Vsetin	6	0	0	6	4	20	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Brno II	Polanka
TJ Unie Hlubina	2-8 L	2-4 L
SK Hranice	3-1 W	0-1 L
MFK Karvina B	0-2 L	1-2 L
FC Trinity Zlin B	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Polanka (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Brno II

LLLWLDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	5-0	3	4	W
30/08	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	8	5	W
23/08	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	7	3	W
16/08	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	8	5	W
09/08	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-2	4	3	D
31/07	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	2-6	2-8	6	4	L
12/06	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	4	3	W
06/06	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
31/05	Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-6	6	3	L
24/05	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	4	6	L

Polanka

LLWLLLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
30/08	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
23/08	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	7	3	L
16/08	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	7	8	D
09/08	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	2	4	L
02/08	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
10/06	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
06/06	TJ Start Brno Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
03/06	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	2-4	3-4	3	3	L
31/05	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-4	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Brno II vs Polanka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Brno II win (72%). Probabilities: FC Brno II 72%, draw 17%, Polanka 12%.

How many goals are expected in FC Brno II vs Polanka?

The model expects 3.71 goals (FC Brno II 2.68 · Polanka 1.04), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Brno II vs Polanka?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.