Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: MFK Vitkovice vs Slovacko II

Team pages: MFK Vitkovice · Slovacko II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

MFK Vitkovice1.6

Slovacko II1.37

1X2

42% 26% 32%

MFK Vitkovice Draw Slovacko II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Vitkovice 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Slovacko II 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

MFK Vitkovice 1–3 Slovacko II (4 last)

MFK Vitkovice5-1Slovacko II
Slovacko II1-0MFK Vitkovice
MFK Vitkovice2-4Slovacko II
Slovacko II6-0MFK Vitkovice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Vitkovice 1540 · Slovacko II 1535

	MFK Vitkovice	Draw	Slovacko II
Our model	42%	26%	32%
Market	43%	25%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Slovacko II: 3-0-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Vitkovice	Slovacko II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.1	2.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.2	2.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.60

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.19 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.61
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:01 +3’	2.10	3.60	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:06 +1’	2.19	3.61	2.69

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Vitkovice 1–0–3 Slovacko II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/06/26 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Vitkovice	5-1 HT 1-1	Slovacko II
09/11/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Slovacko II	1-0 HT 0-0	MFK Vitkovice
25/03/23 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Vitkovice	2-4 HT 1-1	Slovacko II
28/08/22 Czechia 3. Liga	Slovacko II	6-0 HT 3-0	MFK Vitkovice

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	6	5	1	0	11	0	16
2	Frydek Mistek	6	4	1	1	11	5	13
3	FC Brno II	6	4	1	1	16	13	13
4	TJ Unie Hlubina	6	4	0	2	21	13	12
5	Sigma Olomouc B	6	4	0	2	13	6	12
6	SK Unicov	6	4	0	2	11	8	12
7	Slovacko II	6	3	2	1	12	7	11
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
9	SFK Vrchovina	6	3	1	2	6	8	10
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	6	2	3	1	6	5	9
11	MFK Vitkovice	6	2	2	2	7	7	8
12	MFK Karvina B	6	2	1	3	8	10	7
13	SK Hranice	6	2	0	4	8	7	6
14	FK Hodonin	6	1	2	3	7	10	5
15	FK Blansko	6	0	3	3	8	17	3
16	Polanka	6	0	2	4	3	7	2
17	MFK Havirov	6	0	2	4	4	15	2
18	FC Vsetin	6	0	0	6	4	20	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Vitkovice	Slovacko II
SK Unicov	3-1 W	1-3 L
FK Hodonin	2-0 W	3-1 W
SFK Vrchovina	0-1 L	3-1 W
Polanka	0-0 D	4-0 W
FK Blansko	1-1 D	4-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Slovacko II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Vitkovice

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	3	7	W
29/08	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
22/08	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
16/08	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	8	8	D
08/08	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	15	3	D
01/08	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	1-4	2	11	L
11/06	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	5-1	12	1	W
06/06	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
30/05	Trinec Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
23/05	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	1	8	D

Slovacko II

WLDLWLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	4	1	W
30/08	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
23/08	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
16/08	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	3-1	4-2	3	1	W
09/08	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	9	4	L
01/08	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	8	6	W
11/06	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-5	4	1	L
06/06	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-2	1	1	D
31/05	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
24/05	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	4-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Vitkovice vs Slovacko II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Vitkovice win (42%). Probabilities: MFK Vitkovice 42%, draw 26%, Slovacko II 32%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Vitkovice vs Slovacko II?

The model expects 2.98 goals (MFK Vitkovice 1.6 · Slovacko II 1.37), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Vitkovice vs Slovacko II?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.