Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 15/08, 16:30

Prediction: Frydek Mistek vs FC Vsetin

Team pages: Frydek Mistek · FC Vsetin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

Frydek Mistek2.08

FC Vsetin1.12

1X2

59% 22% 19%

Frydek Mistek Draw FC Vsetin

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Frydek Mistek 2-7-1 (W-D-L)

DWDLDDDDWD

FC Vsetin 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLWLLW

Head-to-head

Frydek Mistek 3–1 FC Vsetin (4 last)

FC Vsetin2-1Frydek Mistek
Frydek Mistek4-1FC Vsetin
Frydek Mistek3-0FC Vsetin
Frydek Mistek5-2FC Vsetin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Frydek Mistek 1523 · FC Vsetin 1467

	Frydek Mistek	Draw	FC Vsetin
Our model	59%	23%	19%
Market	59%	22%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Frydek Mistek (rating 1523 vs 1467).
H2H favours Frydek Mistek: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Frydek Mistek	FC Vsetin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	2.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.3	1.5 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.10

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 20:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.33 → 4.50▲	Pinn 4.71
2	6.00 → 5.75▼	Pinn 6.15 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
07:48 +5’	1.40	4.33	6.00
10:02 +8’	1.53▲	4.10▼	4.75▼
20:44 +8’	1.40▼	4.50▲	5.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:15 +37’	1.37	4.71	6.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Frydek Mistek 3–0–1 FC Vsetin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Vsetin	2-1 HT 1-1	Frydek Mistek
31/01/26 Club Friendly List	Frydek Mistek	4-1 HT 1-0	FC Vsetin
30/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	3-0 HT 3-0	FC Vsetin
17/07/24 Club Friendly List	Frydek Mistek	5-2 HT 2-2	FC Vsetin

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TJ Unie Hlubina	2	2	0	0	12	4	6
2	Sigma Olomouc B	2	2	0	0	7	1	6
3	SK Artis Brno B	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
4	SK Unicov	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
5	FC Trinity Zlin B	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
6	Frydek Mistek	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	Slovacko II	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
7	CSK Uhersky Brod	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
7	MFK Karvina B	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
10	FK Blansko	2	0	2	0	5	5	2
11	MFK Havirov	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
12	FK Hodonin	2	0	1	1	4	6	1
13	MFK Vitkovice	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
13	SFK Vrchovina	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
15	FC Brno II	2	0	1	1	4	10	1
16	Polanka	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
17	SK Hranice	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
18	FC Vsetin	2	0	0	2	2	9	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Frydek Mistek	FC Vsetin
FC Brno II	2-2 D	1-3 L
TJ Unie Hlubina	2-2 D	2-4 L
FC Trinity Zlin B	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Frydek Mistek (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Frydek Mistek

DWDLDDDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-2	4	3	D
31/07	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	0	8	W
26/07	FK Kozlovice Czechia Cup	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
12/06	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-2	5	3	D
06/06	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-2	5	1	D
29/05	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	10	7	D
23/05	Trinec Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
20/05	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
15/05	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
09/05	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	–	–	D

FC Vsetin

LLWDLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	FC Chotebor Czechia Cup	0-0	6-1	–	–	W
08/08	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	1-3	2-4	3	1	L
02/08	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-5	4	4	L
24/07	FC Strani Czechia Cup	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
13/06	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
04/06	Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
30/05	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
24/05	TJ Start Brno Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	7-0	–	–	W
20/05	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-3	5	2	L
16/05	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-2	4	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frydek Mistek vs FC Vsetin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Frydek Mistek win (59%). Probabilities: Frydek Mistek 59%, draw 22%, FC Vsetin 19%.

How many goals are expected in Frydek Mistek vs FC Vsetin?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Frydek Mistek 2.08 · FC Vsetin 1.12), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Frydek Mistek vs FC Vsetin?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.