Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 01/08, 17:00

Prediction: FK Hodonin vs Slovacko II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

FK Hodonin1.91

Slovacko II1.06

1X2

57% 23% 20%

FK Hodonin Draw Slovacko II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Hodonin 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWDWLL

Slovacko II 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLDWLDLW

Head-to-head

FK Hodonin 4–2–0 Slovacko II (6 last)

Slovacko II0-2FK Hodonin
FK Hodonin1-0Slovacko II
Slovacko II2-2FK Hodonin
FK Hodonin2-0Slovacko II
Slovacko II1-1FK Hodonin
FK Hodonin2-0Slovacko II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Hodonin 1537 · Slovacko II 1452

	FK Hodonin	Draw	Slovacko II
Our model	56%	24%	20%
Market	57%	22%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Hodonin (rating 1537 vs 1452).
H2H favours FK Hodonin: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Hodonin	Slovacko II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	1.7 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 5.9	1.8 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.00

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:23 +5’	1.57	4.00	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Hodonin 4–2–0 Slovacko II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Slovacko II	0-2 HT 0-1	FK Hodonin
02/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Hodonin	1-0 HT 1-0	Slovacko II
09/03/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Slovacko II	2-2 HT 2-2	FK Hodonin
03/08/24 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Hodonin	2-0 HT 1-0	Slovacko II
21/04/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Slovacko II	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Hodonin
16/09/23 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Hodonin	2-0 HT 1-0	Slovacko II

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Slovacko II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSK Uhersky Brod	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Vsetin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Brno II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Trinity Zlin B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Blansko	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Frydek Mistek	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Hodonin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Havirov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Karvina B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Vitkovice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SFK Vrchovina	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Artis Brno B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Hranice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Polanka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sigma Olomouc B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Unicov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TJ Unie Hlubina	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Hodonin	Slovacko II
FK Blansko	2-3 L	1-2 L
MFK Vitkovice	1-2 L	1-5 L
Polanka	4-3 W	4-0 W
Frydek Mistek	1-1 D	2-2 D
SK Unicov	3-1 W	1-3 L
SFK Vrchovina	0-1 L	1-3 L
FC Vsetin	2-0 W	3-3 D
Trinec	1-1 D	1-1 D
FC Brno II	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FK Hodonin (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Hodonin

WDWLWWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/06	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	3	2	L
06/06	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	1	2	L
03/06	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	4-2	4-3	4	3	W
29/05	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
23/05	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-1	4	3	W
20/05	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	10	6	W
09/05	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	12	6	L
02/05	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
29/04	Trinec Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
25/04	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	5	W

Slovacko II

LLDLDWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	FC Trinity Zlin B Club Friendly List	1-0	2-1	4	0	W
11/06	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-5	4	1	L
06/06	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-2	1	1	D
31/05	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
24/05	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
20/05	Trinec Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
16/05	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
10/05	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-3	3-3	6	5	D
03/05	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
29/04	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	1	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Hodonin vs Slovacko II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Hodonin win (57%). Probabilities: FK Hodonin 57%, draw 23%, Slovacko II 20%.

How many goals are expected in FK Hodonin vs Slovacko II?

The model expects 2.97 goals (FK Hodonin 1.91 · Slovacko II 1.06), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Hodonin vs Slovacko II?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.