Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 22/08, 16:30

Prediction: TJ Unie Hlubina vs Frydek Mistek

Team pages: TJ Unie Hlubina · Frydek Mistek

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.14Total

TJ Unie Hlubina1.36

Frydek Mistek1.78

1X2

29% 25% 47%

TJ Unie Hlubina Draw Frydek Mistek

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

TJ Unie Hlubina 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLDWWDWWL

Frydek Mistek 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

TJ Unie Hlubina 1–2–2 Frydek Mistek (5 last)

Frydek Mistek2-2TJ Unie Hlubina
TJ Unie Hlubina2-1Frydek Mistek
TJ Unie Hlubina1-2Frydek Mistek
Frydek Mistek0-0TJ Unie Hlubina
TJ Unie Hlubina1-4Frydek Mistek

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TJ Unie Hlubina 1566 · Frydek Mistek 1516

	TJ Unie Hlubina	Draw	Frydek Mistek
Our model	28%	25%	46%
Market	29%	24%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TJ Unie Hlubina (rating 1566 vs 1516).
H2H favours Frydek Mistek: 2-2-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TJ Unie Hlubina	Frydek Mistek
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.6	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	2 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	90/10/0%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.6	5.3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.75

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:16 +8’	3.10	3.75	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TJ Unie Hlubina 1–2–2 Frydek Mistek

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/06/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	2-2 HT 0-2	TJ Unie Hlubina
08/11/25 Czechia 3. Liga	TJ Unie Hlubina	2-1 HT 0-0	Frydek Mistek
21/05/25 Czechia 3. Liga	TJ Unie Hlubina	1-2 HT 1-0	Frydek Mistek
11/09/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	0-0 HT 0-0	TJ Unie Hlubina
12/07/23 Club Friendly List	TJ Unie Hlubina	1-4 HT 1-1	Frydek Mistek

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sigma Olomouc B	3	3	0	0	10	3	9
2	SK Artis Brno B	3	3	0	0	5	0	9
3	Frydek Mistek	3	2	1	0	5	2	7
4	TJ Unie Hlubina	3	2	0	1	14	7	6
5	Slovacko II	3	2	0	1	8	5	6
6	CSK Uhersky Brod	3	2	0	1	5	3	6
7	SK Unicov	3	2	0	1	5	4	6
8	FC Trinity Zlin B	3	2	0	1	3	2	6
9	MFK Karvina B	3	1	1	1	6	5	4
10	SFK Vrchovina	3	1	1	1	3	5	4
11	FC Brno II	3	1	1	1	6	11	4
12	MFK Havirov	3	0	2	1	3	4	2
13	FK Blansko	3	0	2	1	7	9	2
14	MFK Vitkovice	3	0	2	1	2	5	2
15	Polanka	3	0	1	2	1	3	1
16	FK Hodonin	3	0	1	2	4	7	1
17	SK Hranice	3	0	0	3	0	3	0
18	FC Vsetin	3	0	0	3	2	11	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TJ Unie Hlubina	Frydek Mistek
FC Vsetin	4-2 W	2-0 W
FC Brno II	8-2 W	2-2 D
Trinec	3-2 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: TJ Unie Hlubina (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

TJ Unie Hlubina

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-3	6	5	L
08/08	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	3-1	4-2	8	1	W
31/07	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	6-2	8-2	2	4	W
24/07	Tatran Vsechovice Czechia Cup	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
11/07	Trinec Europe Friendlies	2-0	3-2	3	2	W
08/07	Opava Club Friendly List	2-0	2-0	6	0	W
12/06	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-2	3	3	D
06/06	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-2	6	3	L
31/05	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	4-2	6	1	W
23/05	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	8	W

Frydek Mistek

WDLDDDDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	15	3	W
09/08	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-2	4	3	D
31/07	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	0	8	W
26/07	FK Kozlovice Czechia Cup	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
12/06	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-2	5	3	D
06/06	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-2	5	1	D
29/05	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	10	7	D
23/05	Trinec Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
20/05	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
15/05	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TJ Unie Hlubina vs Frydek Mistek?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Frydek Mistek win (47%). Probabilities: TJ Unie Hlubina 29%, draw 25%, Frydek Mistek 47%.

How many goals are expected in TJ Unie Hlubina vs Frydek Mistek?

The model expects 3.14 goals (TJ Unie Hlubina 1.36 · Frydek Mistek 1.78), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in TJ Unie Hlubina vs Frydek Mistek?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.