Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Frydek Mistek vs SK Unicov

Team pages: Frydek Mistek · SK Unicov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Frydek Mistek1.61

SK Unicov1.06

1X2

50% 25% 25%

Frydek Mistek Draw SK Unicov

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Frydek Mistek 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LDDDWDWLWW

SK Unicov 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWLWWL

Head-to-head

Frydek Mistek 2–1–3 SK Unicov (6 last)

Frydek Mistek0-0SK Unicov
SK Unicov4-3Frydek Mistek
Frydek Mistek1-4SK Unicov
SK Unicov2-1Frydek Mistek
SK Unicov0-1Frydek Mistek
Frydek Mistek2-0SK Unicov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Frydek Mistek 1527 · SK Unicov 1540

	Frydek Mistek	Draw	SK Unicov
Our model	49%	27%	24%
Market	51%	24%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SK Unicov: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Frydek Mistek	SK Unicov
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	1.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.4 / 6.5	3.3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.70

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.75▼	Bet365 1.75
X	3.60 → 3.70▲	Bet365 3.70
2	3.10 → 3.50▲	Pinn 4.11 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.7% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:51 +12’	1.91	3.60	3.10
19:21 +45’	1.75▼	3.70▲	3.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:06 +1’	1.70	3.66	4.11

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Frydek Mistek 2–1–3 SK Unicov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	0-0 HT 0-0	SK Unicov
21/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Unicov	4-3 HT 2-2	Frydek Mistek
07/06/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	1-4 HT 1-2	SK Unicov
03/11/24 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Unicov	2-1 HT 2-0	Frydek Mistek
07/04/24 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Unicov	0-1 HT 0-0	Frydek Mistek
02/09/23 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	2-0 HT 2-0	SK Unicov

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	6	5	1	0	11	0	16
2	Frydek Mistek	6	4	1	1	11	5	13
3	FC Brno II	6	4	1	1	16	13	13
4	TJ Unie Hlubina	6	4	0	2	21	13	12
5	Sigma Olomouc B	6	4	0	2	13	6	12
6	SK Unicov	6	4	0	2	11	8	12
7	Slovacko II	6	3	2	1	12	7	11
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
9	SFK Vrchovina	6	3	1	2	6	8	10
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	6	2	3	1	6	5	9
11	MFK Vitkovice	6	2	2	2	7	7	8
12	MFK Karvina B	6	2	1	3	8	10	7
13	SK Hranice	6	2	0	4	8	7	6
14	FK Hodonin	6	1	2	3	7	10	5
15	FK Blansko	6	0	3	3	8	17	3
16	Polanka	6	0	2	4	3	7	2
17	MFK Havirov	6	0	2	4	4	15	2
18	FC Vsetin	6	0	0	6	4	20	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Frydek Mistek	SK Unicov
MFK Karvina B	3-0 W	3-2 W
TJ Unie Hlubina	2-3 L	3-0 W
FC Vsetin	2-0 W	2-1 W
FC Brno II	2-2 D	1-2 L
SK Hranice	1-0 W	1-0 W
Slovacko II	2-2 D	3-1 W
FK Hodonin	1-1 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Frydek Mistek (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Frydek Mistek

LDDDWDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
28/08	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
22/08	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-3	8	4	L
15/08	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	15	3	W
09/08	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-2	4	3	D
31/07	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	0	8	W
12/06	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-2	5	3	D
06/06	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-2	5	1	D
29/05	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	10	7	D
23/05	Trinec Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	8	2	L

SK Unicov

WLWWWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	5	7	L
30/08	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
22/08	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	11	2	W
16/08	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
07/08	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	9	2	W
02/08	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	3-2	5	3	W
06/06	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	7	3	W
31/05	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-1	3	3	W
23/05	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-3	3	3	L
20/05	Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frydek Mistek vs SK Unicov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Frydek Mistek win (50%). Probabilities: Frydek Mistek 50%, draw 25%, SK Unicov 25%.

How many goals are expected in Frydek Mistek vs SK Unicov?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Frydek Mistek 1.61 · SK Unicov 1.06), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Frydek Mistek vs SK Unicov?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.