Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 06/09, 10:15

Prediction: MFK Karvina B vs FK Hodonin

Team pages: MFK Karvina B · FK Hodonin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

MFK Karvina B1.41

FK Hodonin1.92

1X2

27% 24% 49%

MFK Karvina B Draw FK Hodonin

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Karvina B 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDWWLWDWLL

FK Hodonin 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLLDLDLW

Head-to-head

MFK Karvina B 1–1–4 FK Hodonin (6 last)

FK Hodonin4-1MFK Karvina B
MFK Karvina B2-3FK Hodonin
FK Hodonin1-0MFK Karvina B
MFK Karvina B1-2FK Hodonin
MFK Karvina B4-4FK Hodonin
FK Hodonin1-2MFK Karvina B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Karvina B 1474 · FK Hodonin 1482

	MFK Karvina B	Draw	FK Hodonin
Our model	27%	24%	49%
Market	27%	24%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Hodonin: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Karvina B	FK Hodonin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	1 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.1	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.75

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
03:45 +6’	3.25	3.75	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Karvina B 1–1–4 FK Hodonin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Hodonin	4-1 HT 1-1	MFK Karvina B
07/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Karvina B	2-3 HT 2-2	FK Hodonin
12/04/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Hodonin	1-0 HT 0-0	MFK Karvina B
08/09/24 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Karvina B	1-2 HT 1-1	FK Hodonin
07/04/24 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Karvina B	4-4 HT 3-2	FK Hodonin
02/09/23 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Hodonin	1-2 HT 0-0	MFK Karvina B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	6	5	1	0	11	0	16
2	Frydek Mistek	6	4	1	1	11	5	13
3	FC Brno II	6	4	1	1	16	13	13
4	TJ Unie Hlubina	6	4	0	2	21	13	12
5	Sigma Olomouc B	6	4	0	2	13	6	12
6	SK Unicov	6	4	0	2	11	8	12
7	Slovacko II	6	3	2	1	12	7	11
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
9	SFK Vrchovina	6	3	1	2	6	8	10
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	6	2	3	1	6	5	9
11	MFK Vitkovice	6	2	2	2	7	7	8
12	MFK Karvina B	6	2	1	3	8	10	7
13	SK Hranice	6	2	0	4	8	7	6
14	FK Hodonin	6	1	2	3	7	10	5
15	FK Blansko	6	0	3	3	8	17	3
16	Polanka	6	0	2	4	3	7	2
17	MFK Havirov	6	0	2	4	4	15	2
18	FC Vsetin	6	0	0	6	4	20	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Karvina B	FK Hodonin
Frydek Mistek	0-3 L	1-1 D
Polanka	2-1 W	4-3 W
Sigma Olomouc B	1-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FK Hodonin (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Karvina B

LDWWLWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
29/08	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
23/08	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
16/08	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
09/08	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	4	7	W
02/08	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-3	5	3	L
13/06	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
06/06	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	7	2	W
29/05	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
24/05	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	3	2	L

FK Hodonin

DWLLLDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	0	3	W
29/08	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
23/08	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
15/08	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	11	3	L
08/08	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	3-3	3	6	D
01/08	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	5	6	L
13/06	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	3	2	L
06/06	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	1	2	L
03/06	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	4-2	4-3	4	3	W
29/05	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Karvina B vs FK Hodonin?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Hodonin win (49%). Probabilities: MFK Karvina B 27%, draw 24%, FK Hodonin 49%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Karvina B vs FK Hodonin?

The model expects 3.33 goals (MFK Karvina B 1.41 · FK Hodonin 1.92), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Karvina B vs FK Hodonin?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.