Football · Austria Landesliga · 16/10, 19:30

Prediction: Neusiedl vs SC Bad Sauerbrunn

Team pages: Neusiedl · SC Bad Sauerbrunn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Neusiedl1.53

SC Bad Sauerbrunn1.76

1X2

33% 24% 43%

Neusiedl Draw SC Bad Sauerbrunn

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Neusiedl 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDWDWDLD

SC Bad Sauerbrunn 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWWWDL

Head-to-head

Neusiedl 3–0 SC Bad Sauerbrunn (3 last)

SC Bad Sauerbrunn1-3Neusiedl
SC Bad Sauerbrunn0-2Neusiedl
SC Bad Sauerbrunn1-4Neusiedl

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Neusiedl 1521 · SC Bad Sauerbrunn 1547

	Neusiedl	Draw	SC Bad Sauerbrunn
Our model	33%	25%	42%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Neusiedl: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Neusiedl	SC Bad Sauerbrunn
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	2.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4	1.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.75

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
06:01 +4’	2.70	3.75	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Neusiedl 3–0–0 SC Bad Sauerbrunn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/23 Austria Amateur Cup	SC Bad Sauerbrunn	1-3 HT 1-0	Neusiedl
31/07/20 Europe Friendlies	SC Bad Sauerbrunn	0-2 HT 0-0	Neusiedl
05/02/19 Europe Friendlies	SC Bad Sauerbrunn	1-4 HT 1-1	Neusiedl

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	8	7	1	0	23	2	22
2	Red Star Penzing	8	6	1	1	18	10	19
3	LAC Inter	8	6	0	2	18	12	18
4	Floridsdorfer AC II	8	5	1	2	17	9	16
5	TWL Elektra	8	5	1	2	14	10	16
6	Helfort 15	8	4	2	2	14	7	14
7	SV Schwechat	8	4	0	4	14	12	12
8	First Vienna II	8	3	1	4	18	19	10
9	Hellas Kagran	8	2	2	4	14	17	8
10	Slovan HAC	8	2	2	4	11	16	8
11	FC 1980 Wien	8	2	2	4	10	20	8
12	FV Austria XIII	8	1	4	3	11	13	7
13	WAF Brigittenau	7	2	1	4	8	14	7
14	Post SV	8	1	2	5	13	11	5
15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	7	1	2	4	9	19	5
16	Simmeringer SC	8	1	0	7	3	24	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Neusiedl	SC Bad Sauerbrunn
USV Halbturn	0-0 D	3-0 W
ASK Kohfidisch	2-1 W	1-2 L
ASV Neudorf/Parndorf II	2-2 D	1-1 D
Deutschkreutz	2-0 W	5-0 W
SC Pinkafeld	1-1 D	1-0 W
SK Pama	3-1 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SC Bad Sauerbrunn (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Neusiedl

WDWDWDWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	SPG Edelserpentin Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	ASK Klingenbach Austria Landesliga	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
26/09	St Margarethen/Bur Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
18/09	Oberpullendorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
12/09	USV Halbturn Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
05/09	ASK Kohfidisch Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
28/08	ASV Neudorf/Parndorf II Austria Landesliga	2-2	2-2	–	–	D
21/08	Deutschkreutz Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
14/08	SC Pinkafeld Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
09/08	SK Pama Austria Landesliga	3-1	3-1	1	5	W

SC Bad Sauerbrunn

WDWLWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	ASK Kohfidisch Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
03/10	ASV Neudorf/Parndorf II Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
25/09	Deutschkreutz Austria Landesliga	1-0	5-0	9	3	W
18/09	SC Pinkafeld Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
11/09	SK Pama Austria Landesliga	1-0	5-0	–	–	W
06/09	SV Lackenbach Austria Landesliga	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
28/08	SC Rust Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
21/08	SV Eberau Austria Landesliga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
14/08	SV Leithaprodersdorf Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-2	4	6	D
08/08	USV Halbturn Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Neusiedl vs SC Bad Sauerbrunn?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SC Bad Sauerbrunn win (43%). Probabilities: Neusiedl 33%, draw 24%, SC Bad Sauerbrunn 43%.

How many goals are expected in Neusiedl vs SC Bad Sauerbrunn?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Neusiedl 1.53 · SC Bad Sauerbrunn 1.76), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Neusiedl vs SC Bad Sauerbrunn?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.