Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 08/08, 17:00

Prediction: FK Horovicko vs TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou

Team pages: FK Horovicko · TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.48Total

FK Horovicko1.65

TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou1.83

1X2

34% 24% 42%

FK Horovicko Draw TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Horovicko 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FK Horovicko 1–2–1 TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou (4 last)

TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou3-2FK Horovicko
FK Horovicko2-1TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou
TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou1-1FK Horovicko
FK Horovicko0-0TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Horovicko 1532 · TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou 1601

	FK Horovicko	Draw	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou
Our model	34%	24%	42%
Market	35%	24%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou (rating 1532 vs 1601).
High corners: 14.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Horovicko	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	3.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	1.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.2	5.3 / 9.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.4	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.80

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
09:25 +6’	2.60	3.80	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Horovicko 1–2–1 TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou	3-2 HT 1-0	FK Horovicko
09/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Horovicko	2-1 HT 2-0	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou
09/03/25 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Horovicko
10/08/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Horovicko	0-0 HT 0-0	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hlucin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Vratimov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SSK Bilovec	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Bohumin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Frydek Mistek B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TJ Novy Jicin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Sumperk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kravare	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Opava B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pusta Polom	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jiskra Rymarov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Stonava	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Zabreh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bridlicna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TJ Valasske Mezirici	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Horovicko	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou
FC Rokycany	0-1 L	2-0 W
Slavoj Cesky Krumlov	2-3 L	3-1 W
Povltavska FA	4-2 W	2-3 L
FK Komarov	1-1 D	6-1 W
TJ Prestice B	1-0 W	1-0 W
TJ Milin	3-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Horovicko

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	FC Rokycany Czechia Cup	0-1	0-1	5	8	L
13/06	Benesov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
06/06	SK Petrin Plzen B Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
30/05	FK Tachov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
23/05	Slavoj Cesky Krumlov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-3	6	2	L
16/05	Povltavska FA Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	4-2	–	–	W
08/05	FC Rokycany Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	9	W
02/05	FK Komarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
25/04	TJ Prestice B Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
18/04	TJ Milin Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	3-1	–	–	W

TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/07	Spartak Sobeslav Czechia Cup	1-0	3-2	5	3	W
10/06	Slavoj Cesky Krumlov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
07/06	Povltavska FA Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	2-3	5	1	L
30/05	FC Rokycany Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
22/05	FK Komarov Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	6-1	9	5	W
16/05	TJ Prestice B Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
07/05	TJ Milin Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	15	2	W
01/05	FC Krimice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
26/04	SK Senco Doubravka Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	5-1	14	4	W
19/04	FC Milevsko Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	6-3	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Horovicko vs TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou?

According to our model, the most likely result is an TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou win (42%). Probabilities: FK Horovicko 34%, draw 24%, TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou 42%.

How many goals are expected in FK Horovicko vs TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou?

The model expects 3.48 goals (FK Horovicko 1.65 · TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou 1.83), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Horovicko vs TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.