Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 08/08, 17:00

Prediction: FK Trutnov vs Spartak Police Nad Metuji

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.64Total

FK Trutnov1.87

Spartak Police Nad Metuji1.77

1X2

40% 24% 36%

FK Trutnov Draw Spartak Police Nad Metuji

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Trutnov 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWDLLWLW

Spartak Police Nad Metuji 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWDDDLWW

Head-to-head

FK Trutnov 2–1–2 Spartak Police Nad Metuji (5 last)

Spartak Police Nad Metuji1-4FK Trutnov
FK Trutnov3-1Spartak Police Nad Metuji
FK Trutnov0-1Spartak Police Nad Metuji
Spartak Police Nad Metuji2-2FK Trutnov
FK Trutnov0-3Spartak Police Nad Metuji

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Trutnov 1519 · Spartak Police Nad Metuji 1533

	FK Trutnov	Draw	Spartak Police Nad Metuji
Our model	40%	24%	36%
Market	40%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Trutnov	Spartak Police Nad Metuji
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2	2.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	1.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 5.5	2.5 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.75

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
06:48 +14’	2.25	3.75	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Trutnov 2–1–2 Spartak Police Nad Metuji

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Spartak Police Nad Metuji	1-4 HT 0-2	FK Trutnov
10/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Trutnov	3-1 HT 2-1	Spartak Police Nad Metuji
27/04/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Trutnov	0-1 HT 0-1	Spartak Police Nad Metuji
29/09/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Spartak Police Nad Metuji	2-2 HT 1-1	FK Trutnov
04/08/24 Czechia Cup	FK Trutnov	0-3 HT 0-1	Spartak Police Nad Metuji

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	1	1	0	2	0	3
2	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	FC Vratimov	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	SSK Bilovec	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Frydek Mistek B	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	TJ Novy Jicin	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	FK Sumperk	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Kravare	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Opava B	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Pusta Polom	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Jiskra Rymarov	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	SK Stonava	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	SK Zabreh	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bridlicna	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	TJ Valasske Mezirici	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Hlucin	1	0	1	0	2	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Trutnov	Spartak Police Nad Metuji
Turnov	2-4 L	2-0 W
Slovan Hradek nad Nisou	2-1 W	1-0 W
MFK Chrudim B	2-3 L	2-0 W
FK Chlumec N.C	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Spartak Police Nad Metuji (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Trutnov

WDLWDLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	FC Slavia HK Czechia Cup	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
13/06	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-4	6	5	L
07/06	Slovan Hradek nad Nisou Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
31/05	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-3	4	7	L
23/05	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-4	–	–	L
17/05	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
09/05	FK Dobrovice Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-2	–	–	W
03/05	Zenit Caslav Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
25/04	FK Nachod Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
19/04	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	5	4	W

Spartak Police Nad Metuji

WWWWDDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Dvur Kralove Czechia Cup	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
13/06	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	5-1	–	–	W
07/06	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-4	–	–	L
30/05	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-2	5	6	D
24/05	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
16/05	FK Horni Redice Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	3-3	2	4	D
10/05	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
03/05	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
26/04	Slovan Hradek nad Nisou Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
19/04	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	0	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Trutnov vs Spartak Police Nad Metuji?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Trutnov win (40%). Probabilities: FK Trutnov 40%, draw 24%, Spartak Police Nad Metuji 36%.

How many goals are expected in FK Trutnov vs Spartak Police Nad Metuji?

The model expects 3.64 goals (FK Trutnov 1.87 · Spartak Police Nad Metuji 1.77), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Trutnov vs Spartak Police Nad Metuji?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.