Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 08/08, 10:30

Prediction: FK Prepere vs SK Kosmonosy

Team pages: FK Prepere · SK Kosmonosy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.68Total

FK Prepere2.23

SK Kosmonosy1.45

1X2

54% 22% 24%

FK Prepere Draw SK Kosmonosy

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Prepere 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWWWWW

SK Kosmonosy 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWDWWLDLL

Head-to-head

FK Prepere 2–2 SK Kosmonosy (4 last)

SK Kosmonosy5-1FK Prepere
FK Prepere2-0SK Kosmonosy
SK Kosmonosy2-1FK Prepere
FK Prepere2-1SK Kosmonosy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Prepere 1554 · SK Kosmonosy 1483

	FK Prepere	Draw	SK Kosmonosy
Our model	54%	22%	24%
Market	54%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.68 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Prepere (rating 1554 vs 1483).
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Prepere	SK Kosmonosy
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.5	2.5 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	1.6 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0 / 5.2	2.5 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.65

X4.10

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
06:23 +23’	1.65	4.10	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Prepere 2–0–2 SK Kosmonosy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Kosmonosy	5-1 HT 4-1	FK Prepere
18/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Prepere	2-0 HT 1-0	SK Kosmonosy
05/04/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Kosmonosy	2-1 HT 0-1	FK Prepere
07/09/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Prepere	2-1 HT 2-0	SK Kosmonosy

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hlucin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Vratimov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SSK Bilovec	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Bohumin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Frydek Mistek B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TJ Novy Jicin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Sumperk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kravare	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Opava B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pusta Polom	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jiskra Rymarov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Stonava	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Zabreh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bridlicna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TJ Valasske Mezirici	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Prepere	SK Kosmonosy
FK Dobrovice	1-0 W	6-1 W
Zenit Caslav	4-1 W	3-4 L
FK Nachod	2-1 W	2-0 W
SK Vysoke Myto	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SK Kosmonosy (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Prepere

LWLWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Velke Hamry Czechia Cup	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
13/06	FK Dobrovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
06/06	Zenit Caslav Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
30/05	FK Nachod Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	4	5	W
23/05	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
16/05	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	1-4	1-5	–	–	L
09/05	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
01/05	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-4	7	2	L
25/04	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
22/04	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	3	2	L

SK Kosmonosy

WLWDWWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia Cup	1-1	1-4	2	9	L
13/06	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-5	–	–	L
07/06	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	2-3	3-3	4	1	D
30/05	Slovan Hradek nad Nisou Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
23/05	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
16/05	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	4-1	5-1	–	–	W
09/05	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	3	1	D
01/05	FK Dobrovice Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	6-1	–	–	W
26/04	Zenit Caslav Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	3-4	3	4	L
18/04	FK Nachod Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Prepere vs SK Kosmonosy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Prepere win (54%). Probabilities: FK Prepere 54%, draw 22%, SK Kosmonosy 24%.

How many goals are expected in FK Prepere vs SK Kosmonosy?

The model expects 3.68 goals (FK Prepere 2.23 · SK Kosmonosy 1.45), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Prepere vs SK Kosmonosy?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.