Football · Switzerland Division 1 Women · 09/09, 20:00
Prediction: Lucerne (W) vs FC Rapperswil-Jona (W)
Team pages: Lucerne (W) · FC Rapperswil-Jona (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
Lucerne (W)1.7
FC Rapperswil-Jona (W)1.55
1X2
Lucerne (W)
Draw
FC Rapperswil-Jona (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Lucerne (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
FC Rapperswil-Jona (W)
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lucerne (W)
4–2
FC Rapperswil-Jona (W)
(6 last)
- FC Rapperswil-Jona (W)4-1Lucerne (W)
- Lucerne (W)2-0FC Rapperswil-Jona (W)
- FC Rapperswil-Jona (W)0-3Lucerne (W)
- Lucerne (W)0-1FC Rapperswil-Jona (W)
- Lucerne (W)7-4FC Rapperswil-Jona (W)
- FC Rapperswil-Jona (W)1-2Lucerne (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucerne (W) 1510 · FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) 1431
| Lucerne (W) | Draw | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 25% | 34% |
| Market | 41% | 24% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucerne (W) (rating 1510 vs 1431).
- H2H favours Lucerne (W): 4-0-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lucerne (W) | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2 | 1.1 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/33/0% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 4.7 | 1 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucerne (W) 4–0–2 FC Rapperswil-Jona (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/25 Switzerland Division 1 Women | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Lucerne (W) |
| 13/09/25 Switzerland Division 1 Women | Lucerne (W) | 2-0 | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) |
| 02/11/24 Switzerland Division 1 Women | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) | 0-3 | Lucerne (W) |
| 11/08/24 Switzerland Division 1 Women | Lucerne (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) |
| 02/03/24 Switzerland Division 1 Women | Lucerne (W) | 7-4 HT 3-3 | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) |
| 30/09/23 Switzerland Division 1 Women | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) | 1-2 | Lucerne (W) |
Standings · Switzerland Division 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Zurich (W) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Grasshopper (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Servette FC Chenois (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Basel (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Lucerne (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Young Boys (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 4 |
| 8 | St Gallen (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 9 | Yverdon Sport FC (W) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 10 | Aarau (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lucerne (W) | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Aarau (W) | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| St Gallen (W) | 3-1 W | 4-1 W |
| FC Zurich (W) | 2-3 L | 2-4 L |
| Basel (W) | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Young Boys (W) | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Grasshopper (W) | 2-2 D | 0-6 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Lucerne (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucerne (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Aarau (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/08 | St Gallen (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | FC Zurich (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | Basel (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/04 | Young Boys (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 22/03 | St Gallen (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/03 | FC Zurich (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/03 | Basel (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/02 | Aarau (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 14/02 | Grasshopper (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
FC Rapperswil-Jona (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | FC Zurich (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Young Boys (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 16/08 | Grasshopper (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 0-6 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | St Gallen (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Basel (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Basel (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/04 | FC Thun (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 21/03 | FC Zurich (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/03 | Aarau (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 14/03 | Servette FC Chenois (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucerne (W) vs FC Rapperswil-Jona (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lucerne (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Lucerne (W) 41%, draw 25%, FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) 35%.
How many goals are expected in Lucerne (W) vs FC Rapperswil-Jona (W)?
The model expects 3.25 goals (Lucerne (W) 1.7 · FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) 1.55), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Lucerne (W) vs FC Rapperswil-Jona (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.