Football · Switzerland Division 1 Women · 09/09, 19:00
Prediction: Basel (W) vs Grasshopper (W)
Team pages: Basel (W) · Grasshopper (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Basel (W)1.58
Grasshopper (W)1.07
1X2
Basel (W)
Draw
Grasshopper (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Basel (W)
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Grasshopper (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Basel (W)
4–2
Grasshopper (W)
(6 last)
- Basel (W)1-2Grasshopper (W)
- Grasshopper (W)0-1Basel (W)
- Basel (W)1-4Grasshopper (W)
- Grasshopper (W)1-2Basel (W)
- Basel (W)2-1Grasshopper (W)
- Grasshopper (W)2-6Basel (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Basel (W) 1585 · Grasshopper (W) 1530
| Basel (W) | Draw | Grasshopper (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 27% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Basel (W) (rating 1585 vs 1530).
- H2H favours Basel (W): 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Basel (W) | Grasshopper (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.6 | 2.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 25/25/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.5 | 1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.3 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Basel (W) 4–0–2 Grasshopper (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Switzerland Division 1 Women | Basel (W) | 1-2 | Grasshopper (W) |
| 21/09/25 Switzerland Division 1 Women | Grasshopper (W) | 0-1 | Basel (W) |
| 04/05/25 Switzerland Women Play-Offs | Basel (W) | 1-4 | Grasshopper (W) |
| 27/04/25 Switzerland Women Play-Offs | Grasshopper (W) | 1-2 | Basel (W) |
| 01/03/25 Switzerland Division 1 Women | Basel (W) | 2-1 | Grasshopper (W) |
| 22/09/24 Switzerland Division 1 Women | Grasshopper (W) | 2-6 | Basel (W) |
Standings · Switzerland Division 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Zurich (W) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Grasshopper (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Servette FC Chenois (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Basel (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Lucerne (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Young Boys (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 4 |
| 8 | St Gallen (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 9 | Yverdon Sport FC (W) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 10 | Aarau (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Basel (W) | Grasshopper (W) |
|---|---|---|
| St Gallen (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Servette FC Chenois (W) | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) | 4-2 W | 6-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Basel (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | St Gallen (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Servette FC Chenois (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Young Boys (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Lucerne (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Servette FC Chenois (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/03 | Young Boys (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/03 | St Gallen (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 14/03 | Lucerne (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Grasshopper (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Servette FC Chenois (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Yverdon Sport FC (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 6-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | Aarau (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Aarau (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Aarau (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | FC Zurich (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 24/04 | FC Zurich (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 04/04 | Aarau (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | St Gallen (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Basel (W) vs Grasshopper (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Basel (W) win (49%). Probabilities: Basel (W) 49%, draw 26%, Grasshopper (W) 26%.
How many goals are expected in Basel (W) vs Grasshopper (W)?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Basel (W) 1.58 · Grasshopper (W) 1.07), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Basel (W) vs Grasshopper (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.