Football · Armenia Premier League · 02/08, 19:00
Prediction: FC Urartu vs Pyunik Yerevan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
FC Urartu0.87
Pyunik Yerevan1.31
1X2
FC Urartu
Draw
Pyunik Yerevan
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Urartu
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Pyunik Yerevan
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Urartu
3–2–1
Pyunik Yerevan
(6 last)
- Pyunik Yerevan2-1FC Urartu
- FC Urartu1-1Pyunik Yerevan
- Pyunik Yerevan1-2FC Urartu
- Pyunik Yerevan1-4FC Urartu
- Pyunik Yerevan0-3FC Urartu
- FC Urartu0-0Pyunik Yerevan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Urartu 1495 · Pyunik Yerevan 1538
| FC Urartu | Draw | Pyunik Yerevan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 31% | 46% |
| Market | 25% | 27% | 48% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pyunik Yerevan (rating 1495 vs 1538).
- H2H favours FC Urartu: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Urartu | Pyunik Yerevan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.7 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.1 | 2.6 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Urartu 3–2–1 Pyunik Yerevan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/26 Armenia Premier League | Pyunik Yerevan | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FC Urartu |
| 21/11/25 Armenia Premier League | FC Urartu | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Pyunik Yerevan |
| 29/08/25 Armenia Premier League | Pyunik Yerevan | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FC Urartu |
| 19/04/25 Armenia Premier League | Pyunik Yerevan | 1-4 HT 1-0 | FC Urartu |
| 09/03/25 Armenia Premier League | Pyunik Yerevan | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FC Urartu |
| 05/08/24 Armenia Premier League | FC Urartu | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Pyunik Yerevan |
Standings · Armenia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sardarapat FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Alashkert FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ararat Yerevan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ararat Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | BKMA FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Gandzasar Kapan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | FC Noah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Pyunik Yerevan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Shirak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Syunik | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | FC Urartu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | FC Van | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Urartu | Pyunik Yerevan |
|---|---|---|
| FC Noah | 0-5 L | 0-0 D |
| FC Van | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Urartu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 18/05 | Shirak Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 14/05 | FC Noah Armenian Cup |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Ararat Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 29/04 | Andranik Armenian Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | FC Van Armenia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/04 | Pyunik Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 15/04 | Andranik Armenian Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
Pyunik Yerevan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Debreceni VSC UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 23/07 | Debreceni VSC UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 16/07 | Marsaxlokk FC UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 09/07 | Marsaxlokk FC UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/07 | CS Corvinul Hunedoara Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 23/06 | NK Aluminij Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 27/05 | FC Van Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/05 | Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | BKMA FC Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Urartu vs Pyunik Yerevan?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Pyunik Yerevan win (47%). Probabilities: FC Urartu 24%, draw 29%, Pyunik Yerevan 47%.
How many goals are expected in FC Urartu vs Pyunik Yerevan?
The model expects 2.18 goals (FC Urartu 0.87 · Pyunik Yerevan 1.31), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Urartu vs Pyunik Yerevan?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.