Football · Armenia Premier League · 01/08, 18:00
Prediction: Gandzasar Kapan vs Ararat Armenia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Gandzasar Kapan0.79
Ararat Armenia2.04
1X2
Gandzasar Kapan
Draw
Ararat Armenia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Gandzasar Kapan
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Ararat Armenia
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gandzasar Kapan
0–6
Ararat Armenia
(6 last)
- Ararat Armenia1-0Gandzasar Kapan
- Gandzasar Kapan0-1Ararat Armenia
- Ararat Armenia1-0Gandzasar Kapan
- Gandzasar Kapan0-4Ararat Armenia
- Ararat Armenia3-0Gandzasar Kapan
- Gandzasar Kapan0-3Ararat Armenia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gandzasar Kapan 1409 · Ararat Armenia 1582
| Gandzasar Kapan | Draw | Ararat Armenia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 22% | 66% |
| Market | 13% | 21% | 66% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ararat Armenia (rating 1409 vs 1582).
- H2H favours Ararat Armenia: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gandzasar Kapan | Ararat Armenia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.2 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.4 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/10/80% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.7 | 1.7 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gandzasar Kapan 0–0–6 Ararat Armenia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/26 Armenia Premier League | Ararat Armenia | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Gandzasar Kapan |
| 19/10/25 Armenia Premier League | Gandzasar Kapan | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ararat Armenia |
| 05/10/25 Armenia Premier League | Ararat Armenia | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Gandzasar Kapan |
| 25/04/25 Armenia Premier League | Gandzasar Kapan | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Ararat Armenia |
| 21/11/24 Armenia Premier League | Ararat Armenia | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Gandzasar Kapan |
| 14/09/24 Armenia Premier League | Gandzasar Kapan | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Ararat Armenia |
Standings · Armenia Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alashkert FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ararat Yerevan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ararat Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | BKMA FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gandzasar Kapan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Noah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pyunik Yerevan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shirak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Syunik | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Urartu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Van | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sardarapat FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gandzasar Kapan | Ararat Armenia |
|---|---|---|
| Pyunik Yerevan | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Noah | 1-4 L | 0-4 L |
| BKMA FC | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| FC Urartu | 2-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ararat Armenia (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gandzasar Kapan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05 | Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Pyunik Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/05 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Van Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 26/04 | Shirak Armenia Premier League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | BKMA FC Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/04 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/04 | FC Urartu Armenia Premier League |
1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/03 | Ararat Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
Ararat Armenia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Shamrock Rovers UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 21/07 | Shamrock Rovers UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/07 | Riga FC UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 07/07 | Riga FC UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Vojvodina Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/05 | Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | BKMA FC Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 15 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | Pyunik Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | FC Urartu Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gandzasar Kapan vs Ararat Armenia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ararat Armenia win (66%). Probabilities: Gandzasar Kapan 13%, draw 22%, Ararat Armenia 66%.
How many goals are expected in Gandzasar Kapan vs Ararat Armenia?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Gandzasar Kapan 0.79 · Ararat Armenia 2.04), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gandzasar Kapan vs Ararat Armenia?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.