Football · Czechia First League · 20/09, 15:00

Prediction: FK Jablonec vs FC Trinity Zlin

Team pages: FK Jablonec · FC Trinity Zlin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

FK Jablonec2.01

FC Trinity Zlin0.87

1X2

63% 23% 14%

FK Jablonec Draw FC Trinity Zlin

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Jablonec 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLDLWL

FC Trinity Zlin 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

FK Jablonec 2–3–1 FC Trinity Zlin (6 last)

FC Trinity Zlin0-3FK Jablonec
FK Jablonec1-3FC Trinity Zlin
FK Jablonec1-0FC Trinity Zlin
FK Jablonec0-0FC Trinity Zlin
FC Trinity Zlin1-1FK Jablonec
FC Trinity Zlin1-1FK Jablonec

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Jablonec (rating 1528 vs 1412).
H2H favours FK Jablonec: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Jablonec	FC Trinity Zlin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	0.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.8	1.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.5	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.87

Under 2.51.92

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:25

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Pinn 1.42
X	4.38 → 4.38	Pinn 4.38
2	7.31 → 7.31	Pinn 7.31

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
21:16 +189’	1.42	4.38	7.31

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Jablonec 2–3–1 FC Trinity Zlin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Czechia First League	FC Trinity Zlin	0-3 HT 0-2	FK Jablonec
01/11/25 Czechia First League	FK Jablonec	1-3 HT 0-3	FC Trinity Zlin
25/05/24 Czechia First League	FK Jablonec	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Trinity Zlin
20/04/24 Czechia First League	FK Jablonec	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Trinity Zlin
11/11/23 Czechia First League	FC Trinity Zlin	1-1 HT 1-0	FK Jablonec
06/05/23 Czechia First League	FC Trinity Zlin	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Jablonec

Standings · Czechia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Slavia Prague	8	6	2	0	23	5	20
2	Slovan Liberec	8	6	1	1	13	4	19
3	Sigma Olomouc	8	5	1	2	16	10	16
4	FC Brno	8	5	1	2	12	10	16
5	Mlada Boleslav	7	4	2	1	15	9	14
6	Hradec Kralove	8	4	2	2	8	7	14
7	FK Teplice	8	4	1	3	15	15	13
8	FK Jablonec	8	4	1	3	10	8	13
9	Sparta Prague	8	4	0	4	15	12	12
10	Viktoria Plzen	8	2	4	2	16	15	10
11	Bohemians 1905	7	2	3	2	8	9	9
12	Banik Ostrava	8	3	0	5	5	15	9
13	Pardubice	8	1	2	5	7	13	5
14	SK Artis Brno	8	1	1	6	7	18	4
15	Slovacko	8	0	3	5	5	14	3
16	FC Trinity Zlin	8	0	0	8	7	18	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Jablonec	FC Trinity Zlin
Sparta Prague	0-2 L	1-3 L
Banik Ostrava	3-0 W	0-1 L
Slovan Liberec	1-2 L	0-1 L
Bohemians 1905	1-1 D	0-2 L
FK Teplice	0-2 L	1-3 L
Slovacko	1-0 W	1-0 W
Viktoria Plzen	0-5 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: FK Jablonec (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Jablonec

LWWWWLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Sparta Prague Czechia First League	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
09/09	Banik Ostrava Czechia First League	1-0	3-0	9	4	W
06/09	Slovan Liberec Czechia First League	0-0	1-2	4	6	L
02/09	Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
30/08	FK Teplice Czechia First League	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
09/08	Slovacko Czechia First League	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
02/08	Pardubice Czechia First League	2-0	2-0	0	2	W
26/07	Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League	0-1	2-1	10	3	W
24/05	Slovan Liberec Czechia First League	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
17/05	Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League	0-4	0-5	4	2	L

FC Trinity Zlin

LWLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Hradec Kralove Czechia First League	1-1	1-2	14	4	L
06/09	FK Teplice Czechia First League	0-1	1-3	5	3	L
29/08	FC Brno Czechia First League	0-1	2-3	4	3	L
22/08	Slovan Liberec Czechia First League	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
15/08	Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League	1-2	2-3	3	3	L
08/08	Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
31/07	Sparta Prague Czechia First League	0-1	1-3	4	4	L
25/07	Banik Ostrava Czechia First League	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
23/05	Slovacko Czechia First League	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
16/05	Banik Ostrava Czechia First League	0-1	0-2	2	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Jablonec vs FC Trinity Zlin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Jablonec win (63%). Probabilities: FK Jablonec 63%, draw 23%, FC Trinity Zlin 14%.

How many goals are expected in FK Jablonec vs FC Trinity Zlin?

The model expects 2.88 goals (FK Jablonec 2.01 · FC Trinity Zlin 0.87), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Jablonec vs FC Trinity Zlin?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.