Football · Russia Division 1 · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
Team pages: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk · Shinnik Yaroslavl
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.11Total
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk1.11
Shinnik Yaroslavl1.01
1X2
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Draw
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
2–3–1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
(6 last)
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk0-0Shinnik Yaroslavl
- Shinnik Yaroslavl1-1Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- Shinnik Yaroslavl0-2Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- Shinnik Yaroslavl1-1Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk1-0Shinnik Yaroslavl
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk1-2Shinnik Yaroslavl
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shinnik Yaroslavl (rating 1470 vs 1510).
- H2H favours Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | Shinnik Yaroslavl | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.6 | – / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 2–3–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Russia Division 1 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
| 15/10/25 Russia Cup | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk |
| 10/08/25 Russia Division 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk |
| 29/03/25 Russia Division 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk |
| 12/10/24 Russia Division 1 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
| 24/04/24 Russia Division 1 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Ural | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Veles | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | FK Yenisey | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| 6 | FC Ufa | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | PFC Sochi | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
| 8 | Arsenal Tula | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 9 | Torpedo Moscow | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | FK Chelyabinsk | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | Rotor Volgograd | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 13 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 6 |
| 14 | FK Leningradets | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 16 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 17 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| 18 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
|---|---|---|
| FC Nizhny Novgorod | 1-5 L | 0-3 L |
| Arsenal Tula | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
0-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/07 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Alga Group Kazan Russia Regional League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 30/06 | Kamaz Nab Chelny 2 Russia Regional League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 28/06 | Krylia Sovetov Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/06 | FC Orenburg Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Kamaz Nab Chelny 2 Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Shinnik Yaroslavl
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/08 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 19/07 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 16 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/05 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/04 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk win (36%). Probabilities: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 36%, draw 32%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 31%.
How many goals are expected in Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
The model expects 2.11 goals (Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 1.11 · Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.01), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.