Football · Russia Division 1 · 15/08, 12:30
Prediction: FK Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moscow
Team pages: FK Chelyabinsk · Torpedo Moscow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
FK Chelyabinsk1.04
Torpedo Moscow1.11
1X2
FK Chelyabinsk
Draw
Torpedo Moscow
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Chelyabinsk
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Torpedo Moscow
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Chelyabinsk
1–1–1
Torpedo Moscow
(3 last)
- FK Chelyabinsk0-1Torpedo Moscow
- Torpedo Moscow2-3FK Chelyabinsk
- Torpedo Moscow1-1FK Chelyabinsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torpedo Moscow (rating 1469 vs 1534).
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Chelyabinsk | Torpedo Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.6 | – / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.6 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Chelyabinsk 1–1–1 Torpedo Moscow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/26 Russia Division 1 | FK Chelyabinsk | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Torpedo Moscow |
| 20/07/25 Russia Division 1 | Torpedo Moscow | 2-3 HT 1-2 | FK Chelyabinsk |
| 07/07/24 Club Friendly List | Torpedo Moscow | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FK Chelyabinsk |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Ural | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Veles | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | FK Yenisey | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| 6 | FC Ufa | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | PFC Sochi | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
| 8 | Arsenal Tula | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 9 | Torpedo Moscow | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | FK Chelyabinsk | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | Rotor Volgograd | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 13 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 6 |
| 14 | FK Leningradets | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 16 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 17 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| 18 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Chelyabinsk | Torpedo Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Ural | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Arsenal Tula | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Chelyabinsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
1-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 02/08 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/07 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/07 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Rodina Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 02/05 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 22/04 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Torpedo Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 02/08 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/07 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 19/07 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 13/07 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 22/06 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Chaika Petropavlovskaya Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moscow?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Torpedo Moscow win (36%). Probabilities: FK Chelyabinsk 32%, draw 32%, Torpedo Moscow 36%.
How many goals are expected in FK Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moscow?
The model expects 2.15 goals (FK Chelyabinsk 1.04 · Torpedo Moscow 1.11), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moscow?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.