Football · Russia Division 1 · 31/10, 11:00
Prediction: FK Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
Team pages: FK Chelyabinsk · Shinnik Yaroslavl
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
FK Chelyabinsk1.18
Shinnik Yaroslavl1.24
1X2
FK Chelyabinsk
Draw
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Chelyabinsk
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Chelyabinsk
0–1–1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
(2 last)
- FK Chelyabinsk2-2Shinnik Yaroslavl
- Shinnik Yaroslavl1-0FK Chelyabinsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shinnik Yaroslavl (rating 1459 vs 1523).
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Chelyabinsk | Shinnik Yaroslavl | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.2 | – / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Chelyabinsk 0–1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Russia Division 1 | FK Chelyabinsk | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
| 01/11/25 Russia Division 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Chelyabinsk |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | PFC Sochi | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Torpedo Moscow | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Ural | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 28 |
| 5 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 27 |
| 6 | Veles | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 27 |
| 7 | FC Ufa | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 21 |
| 8 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 22 | 21 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 20 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 29 | 19 |
| 11 | Rotor Volgograd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 19 |
| 12 | FK Chelyabinsk | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 15 |
| 13 | FK Yenisey | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 14 |
| 14 | FK Leningradets | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 14 |
| 15 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 13 |
| 16 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 22 | 13 |
| 17 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 10 |
| 18 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 10 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Chelyabinsk | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
|---|---|---|
| Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 4-2 W | 2-0 W |
| FK Yenisey | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Kamaz Nab Chelny | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Chelyabinsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/10 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 09/10 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 4-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 18/09 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 14/09 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 30/08 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
Shinnik Yaroslavl
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 10/10 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/09 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 30/08 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/08 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shinnik Yaroslavl win (36%). Probabilities: FK Chelyabinsk 34%, draw 30%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 36%.
How many goals are expected in FK Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
The model expects 2.43 goals (FK Chelyabinsk 1.18 · Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.24), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.