Football · Russia Division 1 · 23/10, 17:00
Prediction: Torpedo Moscow vs Rotor Volgograd
Team pages: Torpedo Moscow · Rotor Volgograd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
Torpedo Moscow1.8
Rotor Volgograd0.81
1X2
Torpedo Moscow
Draw
Rotor Volgograd
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Torpedo Moscow
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Rotor Volgograd
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Torpedo Moscow
2–2–2
Rotor Volgograd
(6 last)
- Torpedo Moscow2-0Rotor Volgograd
- Rotor Volgograd3-0Torpedo Moscow
- Torpedo Moscow0-1Rotor Volgograd
- Rotor Volgograd1-1Torpedo Moscow
- Torpedo Moscow1-0Rotor Volgograd
- Rotor Volgograd1-1Torpedo Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torpedo Moscow (rating 1568 vs 1475).
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Torpedo Moscow | Rotor Volgograd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5 | – / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 5.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Torpedo Moscow 2–2–2 Rotor Volgograd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/25 Russia Division 1 | Torpedo Moscow | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Rotor Volgograd |
| 25/08/25 Russia Division 1 | Rotor Volgograd | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Torpedo Moscow |
| 06/04/25 Russia Division 1 | Torpedo Moscow | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Rotor Volgograd |
| 22/07/24 Russia Division 1 | Rotor Volgograd | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Torpedo Moscow |
| 16/04/22 Russia Division 1 | Torpedo Moscow | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Rotor Volgograd |
| 03/10/21 Russia Division 1 | Rotor Volgograd | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Torpedo Moscow |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 43 | 15 | 37 |
| 2 | PFC Sochi | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 29 |
| 3 | Torpedo Moscow | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Veles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 27 |
| 5 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 27 |
| 6 | Ural | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 25 |
| 7 | FC Ufa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 21 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 20 |
| 9 | Rotor Volgograd | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 17 | 18 |
| 10 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 18 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 16 |
| 12 | FK Chelyabinsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 15 |
| 13 | FK Yenisey | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 14 |
| 14 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 13 |
| 15 | FK Leningradets | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 13 |
| 16 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 12 |
| 17 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 10 |
| 18 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Torpedo Moscow | Rotor Volgograd |
|---|---|---|
| FK Yenisey | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 4-1 W | 2-0 W |
| FK Spartak Kostroma | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| FK Chelyabinsk | 4-0 W | 4-1 W |
| PFC Sochi | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Torpedo Moscow (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Torpedo Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/10 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/09 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/08 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/08 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
Rotor Volgograd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 17/09 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 05/09 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 31/08 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 20/08 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Torpedo Moscow vs Rotor Volgograd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Torpedo Moscow win (60%). Probabilities: Torpedo Moscow 60%, draw 25%, Rotor Volgograd 15%.
How many goals are expected in Torpedo Moscow vs Rotor Volgograd?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Torpedo Moscow 1.8 · Rotor Volgograd 0.81), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Torpedo Moscow vs Rotor Volgograd?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.