Football · Russia Division 1 · 30/10, 18:15
Prediction: FC Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula
Team pages: FC Nizhny Novgorod · Arsenal Tula
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.83Total
FC Nizhny Novgorod2.64
Arsenal Tula1.19
1X2
FC Nizhny Novgorod
Draw
Arsenal Tula
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Nizhny Novgorod
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Arsenal Tula
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Nizhny Novgorod
1–1–2
Arsenal Tula
(4 last)
- Arsenal Tula0-2FC Nizhny Novgorod
- FC Nizhny Novgorod1-2Arsenal Tula
- Arsenal Tula2-2FC Nizhny Novgorod
- FC Nizhny Novgorod2-3Arsenal Tula
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Nizhny Novgorod (rating 1638 vs 1476).
- H2H favours Arsenal Tula: 2-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Nizhny Novgorod | Arsenal Tula | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 6.1 | – / – |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | – / – |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Nizhny Novgorod 1–1–2 Arsenal Tula
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/24 Russia Premier League Play-Offs | Arsenal Tula | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod |
| 29/05/24 Russia Premier League Play-Offs | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Arsenal Tula |
| 02/05/22 Russia Premier League | Arsenal Tula | 2-2 HT 1-2 | FC Nizhny Novgorod |
| 19/09/21 Russia Premier League | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Arsenal Tula |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | PFC Sochi | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Torpedo Moscow | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 27 |
| 5 | Veles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 27 |
| 6 | Ural | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 25 |
| 7 | FC Ufa | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 21 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 20 |
| 9 | Arsenal Tula | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 29 | 19 |
| 10 | Rotor Volgograd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 19 |
| 11 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 18 |
| 12 | FK Chelyabinsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 15 |
| 13 | FK Yenisey | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 14 |
| 14 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 13 |
| 15 | FK Leningradets | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 13 |
| 16 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 12 |
| 17 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 10 |
| 18 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Nizhny Novgorod | Arsenal Tula |
|---|---|---|
| FC Ufa | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Ural | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| FK Yenisey | 5-0 W | 1-3 L |
| FK Leningradets | 6-0 W | 0-0 D |
| FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 4-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Veles | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Nizhny Novgorod (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Nizhny Novgorod
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/10 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 17/09 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 24/08 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
3-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 19/08 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Arsenal Tula
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/10 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
2-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 05/09 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 24/08 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/08 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Nizhny Novgorod win (68%). Probabilities: FC Nizhny Novgorod 68%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 14%.
How many goals are expected in FC Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula?
The model expects 3.83 goals (FC Nizhny Novgorod 2.64 · Arsenal Tula 1.19), with a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.